TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13102625
Played Sep 9Finished
Matej Beran
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
411119119119––
David Sykora
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:36 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeMatej Beran to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatej Beran above · David Sykora below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Matej Beran at 56.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Matej Beran 2–2 David Sykora Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:36What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Beran
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Beran 1503 vs Sykora 1515
Sykora
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Beran 60% vs Sykora 80%
Sykora
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Beran 30% vs Sykora 50%
Sykora
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Beran -1 · Sykora +4
Sykora
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Beran) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sykora form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBeran 1.67 / Sykora 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sykora)+1.8pp
TT Cup · #13102625
Beran1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite47% won 21 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it69% 11 of 16
Sykora2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 43 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back32% 21 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back17% 6 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBeran2wins
AwaySykora2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Beran2Sykora2n = 4split evenly
S2Beran1Sykora3n = 4Sykora took 3 of 4
S3Beran3Sykora1n = 4Beran took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricBeranSykoraB − SBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match33.035.2−2.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBeranSykoraBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 149 vs 297 / 55445%53.6%67 / 149 vs 297 / 554Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BeranBeran 1.67/Sykora 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Beran · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Beran won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 7 · 10:50M. Beran—1111113D. Sykora—8860
WJul 14 · 13:25M. Beran—11612113D. Sykora—9111091
LJul 13 · 11:20M. Beran—1391231D. Sykora—151110113
LJun 18 · 12:55M. Beran—8770D. Sykora—1111113
M. Beran10
WSep 9 · 15:55M. Beran1.7391111113J. Dvorak2.00115141LSep 7 · 13:55M. Beran1.9131111452V. Jr1.80115411113WSep 7 · 12:50M. Beran2.001111113A. Langer1.736440WSep 7 · 11:20V. Jr1.67111166102M. Beran2.10681111123WSep 7 · 10:50D. Sykora1.838860M. Beran1.831111113LSep 3 · 17:53M. Sochor1.571111123M. Beran2.2555100LSep 3 · 16:55M. Beran1.73811931P. Moravec2.0011611113LSep 3 · 15:55M. Beran1.911193111M. Sochor1.8091111133LSep 3 · 14:55M. Beran2.00101181142J. Hrncir1.73129114113LSep 1 · 01:50P. Moravec2.501112113M. Beran1.5061080
D. Sykora10
LSep 9 · 14:30D. Sykora1.4010101171A. Kral2.7512126113WSep 9 · 13:25A. Kral2.757101171D. Sykora1.4011129113WSep 9 · 12:25D. Sykora1.4011811113L. Moravec2.75911751WSep 9 · 10:55P. Chlumsky2.2551111132D. Sykora1.57117711113WSep 8 · 13:20D. Sochor2.10117110D. Sykora1.671311133LSep 8 · 12:50D. Sykora1.9116100A. Langer1.801111123LSep 8 · 11:20D. Sochor2.25113113113D. Sykora1.5781191172LSep 8 · 10:50V. Jr1.611211113D. Sykora2.2010780WSep 7 · 13:23A. Langer1.5791414652D. Sykora2.2511121211113LSep 7 · 10:50D. Sykora1.838860M. Beran1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.