TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101518
Played Sep 9Finished
Adam Kral
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111012119711––
David Sykora
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:48 and never touched — 65.1% is still 65.1%
Graded at full timeDavid Sykora to win
65.1%
65.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Kral above · David Sykora below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 78 set 4, 7-11 — our read held David Sykora at 65.1%
78 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kral 9–29 David Sykora Adam Kral has won 9 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:48What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Sykora
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-29 in 38
Sykora
Correct
gap of 20 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kral 1542 vs Sykora 1502
Kral
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kral 80% vs Sykora 60%
Kral
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kral 60% vs Sykora 40%
Kral
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kral +2 · Sykora +3
Sykora
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Sykora)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sykora form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKral 2.75 / Sykora 1.40
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Sykora)-1.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13101518
Kral2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 92 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 56
Sykora1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 97 of 157
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it82% 70 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKral2wins
AwaySykora8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSykora leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKral25%1 of 4
AwaySykora83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kral4Sykora6n = 10Sykora took 6 of 10
S2Kral1Sykora9n = 10Sykora took 9 of 10
S3Kral7Sykora3n = 10Kral took 7 of 10
S4Kral2Sykora7n = 9Sykora took 7 of 9
S5Kral2Sykora3n = 5Sykora took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKralSykoraK − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.144.7−6.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKralSykoraBasisWin rate · lifetime402 / 772 vs 296 / 55352.1%53.5%402 / 772 vs 296 / 553Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SykoraKral 2.75/Sykora 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.1%
Sykora · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sykora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 12 · 13:25A. Kral—11715372D. Sykora—8111311113
LJul 7 · 11:55A. Kral—71131362D. Sykora—1151111113
LMay 15 · 12:25A. Kral—5860D. Sykora—1111113
WMay 11 · 13:25A. Kral—118129113D. Sykora—811101192
WApr 26 · 17:30A. Kral—741111113D. Sykora—11117862
LApr 26 · 15:50A. Kral—1191181D. Sykora—13116113
LApr 1 · 22:00A. Kral—11711582D. Sykora—811911113
LApr 1 · 18:20A. Kral—671261D. Sykora—111110113
LMar 30 · 22:30A. Kral—1510461D. Sykora—131211113
LMar 30 · 21:25A. Kral—981191D. Sykora—11115113
A. Kral10
WSep 9 · 11:55P. Chlumsky1.73119911102A. Kral2.00911116123WSep 9 · 11:25L. Moravec2.0010151491A. Kral1.73121712113LSep 4 · 14:35F. Balcar2.25511117113A. Kral1.5711961152WSep 4 · 13:25F. Balcar2.50210111172A. Kral1.50111294113WSep 4 · 12:25A. Kral2.0011111517113M. Filipek1.7348171962LSep 4 · 10:55P. Chlumsky1.80711117113A. Kral1.9111991192LSep 3 · 21:58M. Filipek1.7311911113A. Kral2.00811891WSep 3 · 20:50D. Pasek2.20147791A. Kral1.61121111113LSep 3 · 19:50A. Kral2.10101171192M. Filipek1.67129117113WSep 3 · 18:20J. Dohnal1.67711971A. Kral2.1011911113
D. Sykora10
WSep 9 · 12:25D. Sykora1.4011811113L. Moravec2.75911751WSep 9 · 10:55P. Chlumsky2.2551111132D. Sykora1.57117711113WSep 8 · 13:20D. Sochor2.10117110D. Sykora1.671311133LSep 8 · 12:50D. Sykora1.9116100A. Langer1.801111123LSep 8 · 11:20D. Sochor2.25113113113D. Sykora1.5781191172LSep 8 · 10:50V. Jr1.611211113D. Sykora2.2010780WSep 7 · 13:23A. Langer1.5791414652D. Sykora2.2511121211113LSep 7 · 12:20V. Jr1.8091111113D. Sykora1.91111861LSep 7 · 11:50A. Langer1.611411113D. Sykora2.2012490LSep 7 · 10:50D. Sykora1.838860M. Beran1.831111113
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