TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #11955681
Played May 28Finished
Petr Moravec
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119511117116––
Martin Dolezal
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingPetr Moravec above · Martin Dolezal below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 71 set 4, 11-6
71 points played in total.
H2H Petr Moravec 1–1 Martin Dolezal Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Dolezal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.67 / Dolezal 2.10
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Dolezal)+11.0pp
TT Cup · #11955681
Moravec1.67
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 15 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Dolezal2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog39% won 26 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMoravec1wins
AwayDolezal1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMoravecDolezalM − DBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match46.047.0−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 195 vs 229 / 47344.6%48.4%87 / 195 vs 229 / 473Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalMoravec 1.67/Dolezal 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.2%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMay 20 · 17:25P. Moravec—2M. Dolezal—3
WJan 7 · 21:40P. Moravec—3M. Dolezal—2
P. Moravec10
WSep 8 · 17:55J. Hendrych1.95811981P. Moravec1.7511911113LSep 8 · 16:50P. Moravec1.83871131J. Hendrych1.8311117113WSep 8 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.7510580P. Moravec1.401211113WSep 8 · 14:50J. Dvorak3.001211941P. Moravec1.3614411113WSep 3 · 18:23J. Hrncir1.9011691372P. Moravec1.806111111113WSep 3 · 16:55M. Beran1.73811931P. Moravec2.0011611113LSep 3 · 16:25J. Hrncir1.911011118163P. Moravec1.80126511142WSep 3 · 15:25P. Moravec1.50111187113M. Sochor2.5065111192WSep 1 · 01:50P. Moravec2.501112113M. Beran1.5061080LSep 1 · 24:20J. Cerny2.0014119113P. Moravec1.731251151
M. Dolezal10
LSep 10 · 15:50Z. Zahradka2.751111113M. Dolezal1.404730LSep 10 · 14:50M. Dolezal2.257990J. Hendrych1.571111113LJul 8 · 20:14J. Senk2.10101111113M. Dolezal1.67124841WMay 28 · 18:35Z. Zahradka2.50781141M. Dolezal1.5011118113WMay 28 · 16:25M. Dolezal1.83891311113J. Dvorak1.83111111682WMay 28 · 14:55Z. Zahradka2.5010711101M. Dolezal1.5012119123WMay 28 · 14:40M. Dolezal1.33119118113M. Filipek3.2561161172WMay 28 · 13:25M. Filipek3.25118391M. Dolezal1.3391111113LMay 28 · 12:25M. Dolezal2.00119711O. Varecka1.7381111113WMay 28 · 10:55L. Moravec2.25157871M. Dolezal1.57131111113
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