TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108843
Played Sep 10Finished
Zdenek Zahradka
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114117113––––
Martin Dolezal
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:04 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Dolezal to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingZdenek Zahradka above · Martin Dolezal below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 47 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Martin Dolezal at 70.7%
47 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Zahradka 6–16 Martin Dolezal Zdenek Zahradka has won 6 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:04What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Dolezal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-16 in 22
Dolezal
Wrong
gap of 10 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1350 vs Dolezal 1501
Dolezal
Wrong
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 0% vs Dolezal 40%
Dolezal
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 10% vs Dolezal 60%
Dolezal
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka -5 · Dolezal -2
Zahradka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Dolezal) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 2.75 / Dolezal 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Dolezal)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13108843
Zahradka2.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog36% won 78 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back15% 18 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 65
Dolezal1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 18 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka2wins
AwayDolezal8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDolezal leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka66.7%2 of 3
AwayDolezal100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka3Dolezal7n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S2Zahradka3Dolezal7n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S3Zahradka7Dolezal3n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S4Zahradka2Dolezal6n = 8Dolezal took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaDolezalZ − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.039.3−6.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime417 / 839 vs 150 / 30049.7%50%417 / 839 vs 150 / 300Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalZahradka 2.75/Dolezal 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.9%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 28 · 18:35Z. Zahradka—781141M. Dolezal—11118113
LMay 28 · 14:55Z. Zahradka—10711101M. Dolezal—12119123
LMay 20 · 12:25Z. Zahradka—5711101M. Dolezal—11118123
WMay 14 · 08:55Z. Zahradka—1111113M. Dolezal—8990
LFeb 6 · 19:06Z. Zahradka—19111232M. Dolezal—111171053
LFeb 6 · 15:50Z. Zahradka—11911982M. Dolezal—711911113
LNov 25 · 07:50Z. Zahradka—311571M. Dolezal—11711113
LNov 4 · 13:25Z. Zahradka—891121M. Dolezal—11118113
WSep 25 · 16:50Z. Zahradka—11115113M. Dolezal—971161
LSep 25 · 16:50Z. Zahradka—7560M. Dolezal—1111113
Z. Zahradka10
LSep 10 · 14:20L. Moravec1.8311119113Z. Zahradka1.83731161LSep 8 · 17:23J. Dvorak1.67111158123Z. Zahradka2.10981111102LSep 8 · 16:20Z. Zahradka2.50671191J. Dvorak1.5011113113LSep 8 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.7510580P. Moravec1.401211113LSep 8 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.574890J. Hendrych2.251111113WSep 6 · 18:03J. Melichar1.44111011682Z. Zahradka2.63712811113LSep 6 · 17:25J. Melichar1.44117117113Z. Zahradka2.6381151192LSep 6 · 16:25Z. Zahradka1.67119881R. Jamrich2.1091111113LSep 6 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.80118612123Z. Zahradka1.914111110102LSep 5 · 18:04Z. Zahradka1.839118101D. Tichy1.8311711123
M. Dolezal10
LSep 10 · 14:50M. Dolezal2.257990J. Hendrych1.571111113LJul 8 · 20:14J. Senk2.10101111113M. Dolezal1.67124841WMay 28 · 18:35Z. Zahradka2.50781141M. Dolezal1.5011118113LMay 28 · 17:25P. Moravec1.6711511113M. Dolezal2.10911761WMay 28 · 16:25M. Dolezal1.83891311113J. Dvorak1.83111111682WMay 28 · 14:55Z. Zahradka2.5010711101M. Dolezal1.5012119123WMay 28 · 14:40M. Dolezal1.33119118113M. Filipek3.2561161172WMay 28 · 13:25M. Filipek3.25118391M. Dolezal1.3391111113LMay 28 · 12:25M. Dolezal2.00119711O. Varecka1.7381111113WMay 28 · 10:55L. Moravec2.25157871M. Dolezal1.57131111113
Upcoming Matches
Z. Zahradka
M. Dolezal
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