TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108342
Played Sep 10Finished
Ladislav Moravec
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117113911116––
Zdenek Zahradka
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:04 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeZdenek Zahradka to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLadislav Moravec above · Zdenek Zahradka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 69 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Zdenek Zahradka at 54.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Moravec 2–5 Zdenek Zahradka Ladislav Moravec has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:04What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zahradka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Zahradka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1594 vs Zahradka 1360
Moravec
Correct
both rated, 233 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 20% vs Zahradka 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 60% vs Zahradka 10%
Moravec
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec +1 · Zahradka -4
Zahradka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Moravec) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.83 / Zahradka 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Moravec)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13108342
Moravec1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Zahradka1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMoravec2wins
AwayZahradka5wins
1 of 7 to a deciderZahradka leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec66.7%2 of 3
AwayZahradka100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec3Zahradka4n = 7Zahradka took 4 of 7
S2Moravec3Zahradka4n = 7Zahradka took 4 of 7
S3Moravec4Zahradka3n = 7Moravec took 4 of 7
S4Moravec1Zahradka3n = 4Zahradka took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricMoravecZahradkaM − ZBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match32.435.7−3.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 258 vs 417 / 83842.6%49.8%110 / 258 vs 417 / 838Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.83/Zahradka 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 4 · 10:55L. Moravec—1111113Z. Zahradka—9770
LJun 5 · 10:50L. Moravec—10790Z. Zahradka—1211113
LMay 26 · 10:55L. Moravec—101131172Z. Zahradka—128119113
WMay 20 · 10:55L. Moravec—1111113Z. Zahradka—6460
LMay 14 · 12:25L. Moravec—117281Z. Zahradka—91111113
LMay 12 · 10:55L. Moravec—5111181Z. Zahradka—11139113
LApr 9 · 15:20L. Moravec—671161Z. Zahradka—11117113
L. Moravec10
WSep 9 · 13:58P. Chlumsky1.83121191182L. Moravec1.83148115113LSep 9 · 12:55P. Chlumsky2.0012713113L. Moravec1.7310111171LSep 9 · 12:25D. Sykora1.4011811113L. Moravec2.75911751LSep 9 · 11:25L. Moravec2.0010151491A. Kral1.73121712113LSep 1 · 17:55L. Moravec1.8612812392A. Kral1.7810111011113WSep 1 · 16:50R. Jamrich2.63461191L. Moravec1.4411116113WSep 1 · 15:50L. Moravec2.38611911143A. Kral1.53117118122WSep 1 · 14:20F. Balcar1.838980L. Moravec1.831111113WAug 27 · 14:10L. Moravec1.5411511113B. Budik2.32711791WAug 27 · 12:50B. Budik2.6511139872L. Moravec1.438111111113
Z. Zahradka10
LSep 8 · 17:23J. Dvorak1.67111158123Z. Zahradka2.10981111102LSep 8 · 16:20Z. Zahradka2.50671191J. Dvorak1.5011113113LSep 8 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.7510580P. Moravec1.401211113LSep 8 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.574890J. Hendrych2.251111113WSep 6 · 18:03J. Melichar1.44111011682Z. Zahradka2.63712811113LSep 6 · 17:25J. Melichar1.44117117113Z. Zahradka2.6381151192LSep 6 · 16:25Z. Zahradka1.67119881R. Jamrich2.1091111113LSep 6 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.80118612123Z. Zahradka1.914111110102LSep 5 · 18:04Z. Zahradka1.839118101D. Tichy1.8311711123LSep 5 · 17:25M. Filipek2.2011115123Z. Zahradka1.619911101
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