TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13104508
Played Sep 9Finished
Petr Chlumsky
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1214118911115811
Ladislav Moravec
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingPetr Chlumsky above · Ladislav Moravec below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 100 set 5, 8-11
100 points played in total.
H2H Petr Chlumsky 13–13 Ladislav Moravec Dead even across their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravec form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChlumsky 1.83 / Moravec 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Moravec)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13104508
Chlumsky1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Moravec1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChlumsky6wins
AwayMoravec4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderChlumsky leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChlumsky57.1%4 of 7
AwayMoravec33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chlumsky7Moravec3n = 10Chlumsky took 7 of 10
S2Chlumsky6Moravec4n = 10Chlumsky took 6 of 10
S3Chlumsky3Moravec7n = 10Moravec took 7 of 10
S4Chlumsky6Moravec3n = 9Chlumsky took 6 of 9
S5Chlumsky1Moravec2n = 3Moravec took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChlumskyMoravecC − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.840.9−0.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChlumskyMoravecBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 302 vs 109 / 25745.7%42.4%138 / 302 vs 109 / 257Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecChlumsky 1.83/Moravec 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 12:55P. Chlumsky—12713113L. Moravec—10111171
LJul 27 · 11:55P. Chlumsky—11116822L. Moravec—791111113
WApr 14 · 11:55P. Chlumsky—111158123L. Moravec—761111102
WApr 7 · 11:55P. Chlumsky—71111113L. Moravec—115881
WMar 31 · 11:55P. Chlumsky—16156113L. Moravec—14131161
LMar 17 · 13:55P. Chlumsky—8860L. Moravec—1111113
WMar 12 · 15:35P. Chlumsky—51111113L. Moravec—118771
WMar 12 · 11:55P. Chlumsky—151212113L. Moravec—13101461
LMar 11 · 14:25P. Chlumsky—1311771L. Moravec—111311113
LMar 3 · 10:58P. Chlumsky—11681182L. Moravec—611116113
P. Chlumsky10
WSep 9 · 12:55P. Chlumsky2.0012713113L. Moravec1.7310111171LSep 9 · 11:55P. Chlumsky1.73119911102A. Kral2.00911116123LSep 9 · 10:55P. Chlumsky2.2551111132D. Sykora1.57117711113LSep 8 · 09:53J. Srnka1.804111011133P. Chlumsky1.91119127112WSep 8 · 08:55J. Srnka2.2551161192P. Chlumsky1.57117116113LSep 8 · 08:25R. Muller1.611111113P. Chlumsky2.208530LSep 8 · 07:25P. Chlumsky1.839870R. Jamrich1.831111113WSep 4 · 14:04P. Chlumsky1.44111110113M. Filipek2.63891251WSep 4 · 12:55P. Chlumsky1.5091511143M. Filipek2.5011139121LSep 4 · 11:55P. Chlumsky1.8391070F. Balcar1.831112113
L. Moravec10
LSep 9 · 12:55P. Chlumsky2.0012713113L. Moravec1.7310111171LSep 9 · 12:25D. Sykora1.4011811113L. Moravec2.75911751LSep 9 · 11:25L. Moravec2.0010151491A. Kral1.73121712113LSep 1 · 17:55L. Moravec1.8612812392A. Kral1.7810111011113WSep 1 · 16:50R. Jamrich2.63461191L. Moravec1.4411116113WSep 1 · 15:50L. Moravec2.38611911143A. Kral1.53117118122WSep 1 · 14:20F. Balcar1.838980L. Moravec1.831111113WAug 27 · 14:10L. Moravec1.5411511113B. Budik2.32711791WAug 27 · 12:50B. Budik2.6511139872L. Moravec1.438111111113WAug 27 · 11:50L. Moravec1.83111189113J. Srnka1.8389111192
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