TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108795
Played Sep 10Finished
Ladislav Moravec
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511112211811––
Jan Hendrych
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:05 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeJan Hendrych to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Moravec above · Jan Hendrych below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 61 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jan Hendrych at 54.5%
61 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Moravec 3–3 Jan Hendrych Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickContradict
Sealed 11:05What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hendrych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1604 vs Hendrych 1554
Moravec
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 40% vs Hendrych 60%
Hendrych
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 60% vs Hendrych 30%
Moravec
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec +2 · Hendrych +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Hendrych)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 2.25 / Hendrych 1.57
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Moravec)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13108795
Moravec2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 33 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Hendrych1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 47 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it78% 32 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMoravec3wins
AwayHendrych3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec75%3 of 4
AwayHendrychn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec4Hendrych2n = 6Moravec took 4 of 6
S2Moravec1Hendrych5n = 6Hendrych took 5 of 6
S3Moravec2Hendrych4n = 6Hendrych took 4 of 6
S4Moravec2Hendrych1n = 3Moravec took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricMoravecHendrychM − HBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match32.333.2−0.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecHendrychBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 259 vs 265 / 52242.9%50.8%111 / 259 vs 265 / 522Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 2.25/Hendrych 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Hendrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hendrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 25 · 18:30L. Moravec—97100J. Hendrych—1111123
WAug 25 · 16:25L. Moravec—117711113J. Hendrych—31111882
LApr 9 · 17:29L. Moravec—9760J. Hendrych—1111113
LApr 9 · 16:20L. Moravec—114491J. Hendrych—41111113
WSep 16 · 09:25L. Moravec—11511113J. Hendrych—711881
WSep 16 · 08:55L. Moravec—1111113J. Hendrych—6950
L. Moravec10
WSep 10 · 14:20L. Moravec1.8311119113Z. Zahradka1.83731161WSep 9 · 13:58P. Chlumsky1.83121191182L. Moravec1.83148115113LSep 9 · 12:55P. Chlumsky2.0012713113L. Moravec1.7310111171LSep 9 · 12:25D. Sykora1.4011811113L. Moravec2.75911751LSep 9 · 11:25L. Moravec2.0010151491A. Kral1.73121712113LSep 1 · 17:55L. Moravec1.8612812392A. Kral1.7810111011113WSep 1 · 16:50R. Jamrich2.63461191L. Moravec1.4411116113WSep 1 · 15:50L. Moravec2.38611911143A. Kral1.53117118122WSep 1 · 14:20F. Balcar1.838980L. Moravec1.831111113WAug 27 · 14:10L. Moravec1.5411511113B. Budik2.32711791
J. Hendrych10
WSep 10 · 14:50M. Dolezal2.257990J. Hendrych1.571111113LSep 8 · 17:55J. Hendrych1.95811981P. Moravec1.7511911113WSep 8 · 16:50P. Moravec1.83871131J. Hendrych1.8311117113LSep 8 · 15:50J. Hendrych2.0051111872J. Dvorak1.73116911113WSep 8 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.574890J. Hendrych2.251111113LAug 31 · 18:00M. Dvorak2.101011911113J. Hendrych1.6712811752LAug 31 · 16:55M. Dvorak2.0011115113J. Hendrych1.73681151LAug 31 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83111110113J. Hendrych1.83571251LAug 31 · 15:25J. Hendrych1.679790J. Dvorak2.101111113LAug 28 · 18:47J. Hendrych1.806111091A. Langer1.9011912113
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