TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129209
Played Sep 14Finished
David Sykora
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811118711711––
Zdenek Zahradka
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:23 and never touched — 75.5% is still 75.5%
Graded at full timeDavid Sykora to win
75.5%
75.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Sykora above · Zdenek Zahradka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 74 set 4, 7-11 — our read held David Sykora at 75.5%
74 points played in total.
H2H David Sykora 50–30 Zdenek Zahradka Zdenek Zahradka has won 30 of their 80 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:23What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Sykora
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-30 in 80
Sykora
Wrong
gap of 20 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sykora 1545 vs Zahradka 1424
Sykora
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sykora 80% vs Zahradka 40%
Sykora
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sykora 60% vs Zahradka 30%
Sykora
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sykora +4 · Zahradka +1
Sykora
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Sykora)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSykora 1.30 / Zahradka 3.40
Signal prob.76% / 25%
Edge (Sykora)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13129209
Sykora1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 94 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it90% 47 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it82% 68 of 83
Zahradka3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 70 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back14% 16 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSykora8wins
AwayZahradka2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSykora leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSykora100%6 of 6
AwayZahradka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sykora6Zahradka4n = 10Sykora took 6 of 10
S2Sykora8Zahradka2n = 10Sykora took 8 of 10
S3Sykora6Zahradka4n = 10Sykora took 6 of 10
S4Sykora4Zahradka2n = 6Sykora took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSykoraZahradkaS − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.032.3+6.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSykoraZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime293 / 547 vs 409 / 82853.6%49.4%293 / 547 vs 409 / 828Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SykoraSykora 1.30/Zahradka 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.5%
Sykora · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 15:20D. Sykora33811771Z. Zahradka4111811113
WAug 23 · 16:55D. Sykora331111113Z. Zahradka185850
LAug 2 · 14:09D. Sykora196760Z. Zahradka331111113
WAug 2 · 11:55D. Sykora51812119113Z. Zahradka44111031192
WJul 28 · 11:50D. Sykora331111113Z. Zahradka215790
WJul 23 · 11:55D. Sykora4291111113Z. Zahradka32116961
WJul 12 · 12:25D. Sykora4818118113Z. Zahradka371641161
WJul 9 · 13:25D. Sykora51151211133Z. Zahradka4313145111
WJul 9 · 10:20D. Sykora351311113Z. Zahradka1911710
WJul 7 · 13:55D. Sykora45111112113Z. Zahradka35961461
D. Sykora10
WSep 14 · 14:20D. Sykora1.4411136153D. Sochor2.6361111131WSep 13 · 21:29D. Sykora2.50881211133V. Skokan1.501111107112WSep 13 · 20:20D. Sykora3.001111113V. Skokan1.365740WSep 13 · 19:20D. Sykora3.251011411113A. Kosacky1.3312911752LSep 13 · 18:20D. Sykora2.506380O. Fiklik1.501111113LSep 9 · 18:35M. Beran1.441111113D. Sykora2.609950WSep 9 · 17:25J. Dvorak3.0087111182D. Sykora1.36111187113WSep 9 · 16:25D. Sykora1.83111211113M. Dvorak1.83814881LSep 9 · 14:55M. Beran1.6741111113D. Sykora2.10119991LSep 9 · 14:30D. Sykora1.4010101171A. Kral2.7512126113
Z. Zahradka10
WSep 14 · 14:50J. Hendrych2.00111241072Z. Zahradka1.734101112113LSep 10 · 17:29Z. Zahradka2.501191011112M. Dolezal1.50611128133LSep 10 · 16:50J. Hendrych2.101211115113Z. Zahradka1.6714581172WSep 10 · 15:50Z. Zahradka2.751111113M. Dolezal1.404730LSep 10 · 14:20L. Moravec1.8311119113Z. Zahradka1.83731161LSep 8 · 17:23J. Dvorak1.67111158123Z. Zahradka2.10981111102LSep 8 · 16:20Z. Zahradka2.50671191J. Dvorak1.5011113113LSep 8 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.7510580P. Moravec1.401211113LSep 8 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.574890J. Hendrych2.251111113WSep 6 · 18:03J. Melichar1.44111011682Z. Zahradka2.63712811113
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