TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13125148
Played Sep 13Finished
David Sykora
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012119411117115
Adam Kosacky
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:31 and never touched — 73.7% is still 73.7%
Graded at full timeAdam Kosacky to win
73.7%
73.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Sykora above · Adam Kosacky below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 8-4
Point 87 set 5, 8-4 — our read held Adam Kosacky at 73.7%
87 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H David Sykora 0–1 Adam Kosacky David Sykora has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:31What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Kosacky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sykora 1476 vs Kosacky 1744
Kosacky
Wrong
both rated, 268 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sykora 40% vs Kosacky 60%
Kosacky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sykora 60% vs Kosacky 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sykora -2 · Kosacky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Kosacky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosacky form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSykora 3.25 / Kosacky 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Kosacky)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13125148
Sykora3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 33 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back32% 19 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back15% 5 of 33
Kosacky1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 48 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSykora0wins
AwayKosacky1wins
Kosacky leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSykoraKosackyS − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match30.041.0−11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSykoraKosackyBasisWin rate · lifetime291 / 548 vs 348 / 62653.1%55.6%291 / 548 vs 348 / 626Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosackySykora 3.25/Kosacky 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.7%
Kosacky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sykora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 10 · 14:50D. Sykora30781141A. Kosacky4111118113
D. Sykora10
LSep 13 · 18:20D. Sykora2.506380O. Fiklik1.501111113LSep 9 · 18:35M. Beran1.441111113D. Sykora2.609950WSep 9 · 17:25J. Dvorak3.0087111182D. Sykora1.36111187113WSep 9 · 16:25D. Sykora1.83111211113M. Dvorak1.83814881LSep 9 · 14:55M. Beran1.6741111113D. Sykora2.10119991LSep 9 · 14:30D. Sykora1.4010101171A. Kral2.7512126113WSep 9 · 13:25A. Kral2.757101171D. Sykora1.4011129113WSep 9 · 12:25D. Sykora1.4011811113L. Moravec2.75911751WSep 9 · 10:55P. Chlumsky2.2551111132D. Sykora1.57117711113WSep 8 · 13:20D. Sochor2.10117110D. Sykora1.671311133
A. Kosacky10
WSep 13 · 18:50V. Skokan2.631171191A. Kosacky1.4451113113LJun 7 · 18:30A. Kosacky1.361305111J. Kocab3.00111111133LJun 7 · 17:25A. Kosacky2.00491361D. Hyza1.73111111113WJun 7 · 15:55J. Kocab3.257680A. Kosacky1.331111113WJun 7 · 15:25M. Brozek2.207490A. Kosacky1.611111113WJun 4 · 22:25A. Kosacky1.4071211113M. Kulisek2.751110781WJun 4 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.7511870A. Kosacky1.401311113WJun 4 · 20:25A. Kosacky1.571112113J. Kocab2.2571060WJun 4 · 18:55M. Brozek2.251071141A. Kosacky1.5712119113LJun 2 · 18:25A. Kosacky2.00127691D. Vesecky1.73101111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Sykora
Nothing scheduled
A. Kosacky
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