TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13125059
Played Sep 13Finished
Viktor Skokan
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1157111113911––
Adam Kosacky
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:13 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeAdam Kosacky to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Skokan above · Adam Kosacky below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Adam Kosacky at 66.9%
78 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Skokan 5–16 Adam Kosacky Viktor Skokan has won 5 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:13What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kosacky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-16 in 21
Kosacky
Correct
gap of 11 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skokan 1677 vs Kosacky 1725
Kosacky
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skokan 80% vs Kosacky 60%
Skokan
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skokan 70% vs Kosacky 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skokan +4 · Kosacky -2
Skokan
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kosacky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skokan form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkokan 2.63 / Kosacky 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Kosacky)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13125059
Skokan2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog66% won 21 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back56% 9 of 16
Kosacky1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 48 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkokan4wins
AwayKosacky6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKosacky leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkokan44.4%4 of 9
AwayKosackyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skokan9Kosacky1n = 10Skokan took 9 of 10
S2Skokan0Kosacky10n = 10Kosacky took 10 of 10
S3Skokan3Kosacky7n = 10Kosacky took 7 of 10
S4Skokan3Kosacky5n = 9Kosacky took 5 of 9
S5Skokan4Kosacky2n = 6Skokan took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkokanKosackyS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match41.042.9−1.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkokanKosackyBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 334 vs 348 / 62648.8%55.6%163 / 334 vs 348 / 626Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosackySkokan 2.63/Kosacky 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Kosacky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kosacky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LDec 19 · 20:50V. Skokan27114931A. Kosacky4181111113
WNov 18 · 22:51V. Skokan531110912113A. Kosacky48712111082
LNov 18 · 21:25V. Skokan194780A. Kosacky321111103
LNov 11 · 20:25V. Skokan4211811752A. Kosacky45811411113
WNov 10 · 23:05V. Skokan551171511113A. Kosacky4541117762
WNov 10 · 20:55V. Skokan511110811113A. Kosacky4581211862
LNov 6 · 15:30V. Skokan49118119102A. Kosacky47611711123
WNov 6 · 13:55V. Skokan47116118113A. Kosacky4591171172
LOct 12 · 19:45V. Skokan311245101A. Kosacky44101111123
LOct 4 · 14:55V. Skokan361177111A. Kosacky3741111112
V. Skokan10
WJul 21 · 14:45V. Skokan1.521011811113M. Sulc2.3512511582WJul 21 · 13:25V. Skokan1.571011119113V. Jr2.2512761172WJul 21 · 11:55D. Sykora3.0011813532V. Skokan1.367111111113WJul 21 · 11:25M. Sulc2.50115711102V. Skokan1.50811115123LJul 21 · 08:55O. Varecka1.83411117113V. Skokan1.8311171182LJul 21 · 08:25O. Varecka1.91911511113V. Skokan1.8011811672WJul 21 · 07:25V. Skokan1.5381111113M. Sulc2.38113271WJun 25 · 14:24V. Skokan2.00116811113A. Rek1.7331111272WJun 25 · 12:55V. Skokan1.73911116123M. Prochazka2.00117111102LJun 25 · 11:55V. Skokan2.00911716122A. Rek1.731171114143
A. Kosacky10
LSep 13 · 19:20D. Sykora3.251011411113A. Kosacky1.3312911752LJun 7 · 18:30A. Kosacky1.361305111J. Kocab3.00111111133LJun 7 · 17:25A. Kosacky2.00491361D. Hyza1.73111111113WJun 7 · 15:55J. Kocab3.257680A. Kosacky1.331111113WJun 7 · 15:25M. Brozek2.207490A. Kosacky1.611111113WJun 4 · 22:25A. Kosacky1.4071211113M. Kulisek2.751110781WJun 4 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.7511870A. Kosacky1.401311113WJun 4 · 20:25A. Kosacky1.571112113J. Kocab2.2571060WJun 4 · 18:55M. Brozek2.251071141A. Kosacky1.5712119113LJun 2 · 18:25A. Kosacky2.00127691D. Vesecky1.73101111113
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