TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12272405
Played Jul 21Finished
Viktor Skokan
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012117116911117
Vaclav Hejda Jr
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:03 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeViktor Skokan to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Skokan above · Vaclav Hejda Jr below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 95 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Viktor Skokan at 61.1%
95 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Skokan 16–10 Vaclav Hejda Jr Vaclav Hejda Jr has won 10 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:03What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Skokan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-10 in 26
Skokan
Correct
gap of 6 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skokan 1640 vs Jr 1573
Skokan
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skokan 60% vs Jr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skokan 70% vs Jr 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skokan +2 · Jr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Skokan) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkokan 1.57 / Jr 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Skokan)+1.0pp
TT Cup · #12272405
Skokan1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 24 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Jr2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog39% won 71 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkokan6wins
AwayJr4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSkokan leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkokan100%5 of 5
AwayJr80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skokan5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S2Skokan5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S3Skokan6Jr4n = 10Skokan took 6 of 10
S4Skokan5Jr2n = 7Skokan took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkokanJrS − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.535.6−0.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkokanJrBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 404 vs 350 / 74848%46.8%194 / 404 vs 350 / 748Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkokanSkokan 1.57/Jr 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.9%
Skokan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skokan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 18 · 13:25V. Skokan3759111112V. Jr50111189113
WApr 17 · 06:55V. Skokan3911611113V. Jr36911971
WApr 10 · 13:35V. Skokan45121111113V. Jr35147681
WApr 10 · 10:50V. Skokan331111113V. Jr229580
LOct 31 · 09:50V. Skokan165470V. Jr331111113
WOct 14 · 13:10V. Skokan331111113V. Jr199910
WOct 7 · 10:00V. Skokan44111110123V. Jr314512101
LOct 7 · 07:25V. Skokan355119101V. Jr4111711123
LOct 3 · 07:25V. Skokan31581171V. Jr4111118113
WOct 2 · 11:10V. Skokan42123511113V. Jr48101111882
V. Skokan10
LSep 13 · 20:20D. Sykora3.001111113V. Skokan1.365740LSep 13 · 19:50O. Fiklik2.00611211113V. Skokan1.7311711982LSep 13 · 18:50V. Skokan2.631171191A. Kosacky1.4451113113WJul 21 · 14:45V. Skokan1.521011811113M. Sulc2.3512511582WJul 21 · 11:55D. Sykora3.0011813532V. Skokan1.367111111113WJul 21 · 11:25M. Sulc2.50115711102V. Skokan1.50811115123LJul 21 · 08:55O. Varecka1.83411117113V. Skokan1.8311171182LJul 21 · 08:25O. Varecka1.91911511113V. Skokan1.8011811672WJul 21 · 07:25V. Skokan1.5381111113M. Sulc2.38113271WJun 25 · 14:24V. Skokan2.00116811113A. Rek1.7331111272
V. Jr10
WSep 13 · 17:59V. Jr1.91119119113A. Langer1.8081191152WSep 13 · 16:20D. Sochor2.2591080V. Jr1.571112113WSep 13 · 15:50A. Langer1.834780V. Jr1.831111113LSep 13 · 14:50V. Jr1.731611911102M. Beran2.00185119123LSep 11 · 13:55V. Jr1.903111021D. Hyza1.8011912113LSep 11 · 12:55V. Jr2.2571131132O. Fiklik1.57118119113WSep 11 · 11:55V. Jr2.6361111133D. Hyza1.441195111LSep 11 · 10:55V. Jr2.38611491A. Rek1.5311811113LSep 8 · 13:50A. Langer1.851111125113V. Jr1.85513101182WSep 8 · 12:20D. Sochor2.25261271V. Jr1.57111110113
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