TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13125095
Played Sep 13Finished
David Sochor
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111012811––––
Vaclav Hejda Jr
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:15 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeVaclav Hejda Jr to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Sochor above · Vaclav Hejda Jr below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 61 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Vaclav Hejda Jr at 58.9%
61 points played in total.
H2H David Sochor 6–7 Vaclav Hejda Jr David Sochor has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:15What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sochor 1327 vs Jr 1565
Jr
Correct
both rated, 238 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sochor 20% vs Jr 40%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sochor 20% vs Jr 40%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sochor -2 · Jr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSochor 2.25 / Jr 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Jr)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13125095
Sochor2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 9 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back5% 1 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Jr1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 54 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it67% 39 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSochor5wins
AwayJr5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSochor75%3 of 4
AwayJr66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sochor4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S2Sochor5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S3Sochor8Jr2n = 10Sochor took 8 of 10
S4Sochor2Jr7n = 9Jr took 7 of 9
S5Sochor3Jr2n = 5Sochor took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSochorJrS − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.042.3−1.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSochorJrBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 253 vs 390 / 79340.7%49.2%103 / 253 vs 390 / 793Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrSochor 2.25/Jr 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 12:20D. Sochor27261271V. Jr43111110113
LAug 11 · 11:25D. Sochor33811591V. Jr4111811113
LJul 17 · 11:20D. Sochor53791413102V. Jr5711111211123
LJul 2 · 08:55D. Sochor3981112442V. Jr511181011113
WJun 30 · 09:55D. Sochor3611311113V. Jr30611851
WJun 30 · 07:55D. Sochor51912118113V. Jr46111051192
LJun 26 · 18:00D. Sochor401176161V. Jr4991111183
WJun 26 · 16:50D. Sochor47116118113V. Jr3791141122
WJun 1 · 12:50D. Sochor501111125113V. Jr50138101182
WApr 17 · 14:40D. Sochor341111123V. Jr1954100
D. Sochor10
LSep 13 · 15:20D. Sochor2.759101261M. Beran1.40111210113LSep 13 · 14:20D. Sochor2.50611961A. Langer1.5011711113WSep 11 · 17:55L. Moravec1.3097130D. Sochor3.401111153LSep 11 · 17:25A. Kral1.801111133D. Sochor1.9178110LSep 11 · 16:25D. Sochor1.675680L. Moravec2.101111113LSep 11 · 14:55M. Dvorak2.2011117113D. Sochor1.61961171LSep 8 · 13:20D. Sochor2.10117110D. Sykora1.671311133LSep 8 · 12:20D. Sochor2.25261271V. Jr1.57111110113WSep 8 · 11:20D. Sochor2.25113113113D. Sykora1.5781191172LSep 8 · 10:20D. Sochor2.505114111A. Langer1.5011811133
V. Jr10
WSep 13 · 15:50A. Langer1.834780V. Jr1.831111113LSep 13 · 14:50V. Jr1.731611911102M. Beran2.00185119123LSep 11 · 13:55V. Jr1.903111021D. Hyza1.8011912113LSep 11 · 12:55V. Jr2.2571131132O. Fiklik1.57118119113WSep 11 · 11:55V. Jr2.6361111133D. Hyza1.441195111LSep 11 · 10:55V. Jr2.38611491A. Rek1.5311811113LSep 8 · 13:50A. Langer1.851111125113V. Jr1.85513101182WSep 8 · 12:20D. Sochor2.25261271V. Jr1.57111110113LSep 8 · 11:50A. Langer1.83128124113V. Jr1.831011101182WSep 8 · 10:50V. Jr1.611211113D. Sykora2.2010780
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