TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13112439
Played Sep 11Finished
Vaclav Hejda Jr
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711118311119311
Ondrej Fiklik
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:43 and never touched — 59.6% is still 59.6%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fiklik to win
59.6%
59.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Hejda Jr above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 85 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Ondrej Fiklik at 59.6%
85 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hejda Jr 5–30 Ondrej Fiklik Vaclav Hejda Jr has won 5 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:43What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Fiklik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-30 in 35
Fiklik
Correct
gap of 25 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1553 vs Fiklik 1510
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 40% vs Fiklik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 60% vs Fiklik 40%
Jr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +1 · Fiklik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Fiklik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiklik form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.25 / Fiklik 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Fiklik)+0.7pp
TT Cup · #13112439
Jr2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 89 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back26% 23 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 38
Fiklik1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite53% won 98 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it90% 46 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it74% 66 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr2wins
AwayFiklik8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFiklik leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr25%2 of 8
AwayFiklikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr8Fiklik2n = 10Jr took 8 of 10
S2Jr1Fiklik9n = 10Fiklik took 9 of 10
S3Jr4Fiklik6n = 10Fiklik took 6 of 10
S4Jr2Fiklik5n = 7Fiklik took 5 of 7
S5Jr0Fiklik3n = 3Fiklik took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrFiklikJ − FBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.939.8−1.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime389 / 793 vs 559 / 122249.1%45.7%389 / 793 vs 559 / 1222Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiklikJr 2.25/Fiklik 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.6%
Fiklik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fiklik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 15 · 12:50V. Jr—116881O. Fiklik—91111113
LMay 22 · 07:25V. Jr—111251522O. Fiklik—9141113113
LMay 12 · 09:55V. Jr—1167101O. Fiklik—71111123
WMay 12 · 07:25V. Jr—11911113O. Fiklik—811351
LMay 8 · 13:25V. Jr—12970O. Fiklik—1411113
LApr 28 · 09:59V. Jr—117111152O. Fiklik—311613113
WApr 28 · 08:55V. Jr—1111113O. Fiklik—5860
LApr 22 · 10:30V. Jr—11147101O. Fiklik—51611123
LApr 22 · 06:55V. Jr—111380O. Fiklik—1315113
LApr 17 · 07:55V. Jr—111011582O. Fiklik—612811113
V. Jr10
LSep 11 · 13:55V. Jr1.903111021D. Hyza1.8011912113WSep 11 · 11:55V. Jr2.6361111133D. Hyza1.441195111LSep 11 · 10:55V. Jr2.38611491A. Rek1.5311811113LSep 8 · 13:50A. Langer1.851111125113V. Jr1.85513101182WSep 8 · 12:20D. Sochor2.25261271V. Jr1.57111110113LSep 8 · 11:50A. Langer1.83128124113V. Jr1.831011101182WSep 8 · 10:50V. Jr1.611211113D. Sykora2.2010780WSep 7 · 13:55M. Beran1.9131111452V. Jr1.80115411113WSep 7 · 12:20V. Jr1.8091111113D. Sykora1.91111861LSep 7 · 11:20V. Jr1.67111166102M. Beran2.10681111123
O. Fiklik10
LSep 11 · 12:25A. Rek1.571111123O. Fiklik2.2565100WSep 11 · 11:25O. Fiklik2.25811128143D. Hyza1.571161011122LSep 10 · 14:25V. Nadvornik1.28116612113O. Fiklik3.15911111072LSep 10 · 13:25O. Fiklik2.505790V. Nadvornik1.501111113WSep 10 · 11:55J. Vonasek1.915141591O. Fiklik1.80111613113WSep 10 · 11:25A. Rek1.5711881162O. Fiklik2.25511115113WSep 9 · 21:20M. Sulc1.3671111982O. Fiklik3.00114411113LSep 9 · 20:20M. Sulc2.20811116113O. Fiklik1.6111271152LSep 9 · 19:50M. Brozek1.571112113O. Fiklik2.2561070LSep 9 · 18:50O. Fiklik2.006660M. Kulisek1.731111113
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