TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13111187
Played Sep 11Finished
Adam Martin Rek
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161151210––––
Ondrej Fiklik
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Martin Rek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Martin Rek above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 55 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Adam Martin Rek at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Adam Martin Rek 31–20 Ondrej Fiklik Ondrej Fiklik has won 20 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:34What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Rek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-20 in 51
Rek
Correct
gap of 11 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rek 1600 vs Fiklik 1522
Rek
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rek 40% vs Fiklik 60%
Fiklik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rek 50% vs Fiklik 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rek +2 · Fiklik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Rek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiklik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRek 1.57 / Fiklik 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Rek)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13111187
Rek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 106 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it89% 48 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it70% 76 of 109
Fiklik2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 128 of 324
Down 0–1, comes back21% 37 of 177
Down 0–2, comes back12% 13 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRek6wins
AwayFiklik4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRek83.3%5 of 6
AwayFiklik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rek6Fiklik4n = 10Rek took 6 of 10
S2Rek8Fiklik2n = 10Rek took 8 of 10
S3Rek3Fiklik7n = 10Fiklik took 7 of 10
S4Rek3Fiklik3n = 6split evenly
S5Rek2Fiklik1n = 3Rek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRekFiklikR − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.235.9+1.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRekFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime314 / 541 vs 559 / 122158%45.8%314 / 541 vs 559 / 1221Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RekRek 1.57/Fiklik 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Rek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 22:03A. Rek341211113O. Fiklik2710890
LSep 5 · 20:55A. Rek33811861O. Fiklik3711411113
WSep 1 · 12:25A. Rek341111123O. Fiklik2899100
WAug 21 · 12:25A. Rek3811115113O. Fiklik31841181
LAug 16 · 18:55A. Rek346111161O. Fiklik4211713113
WAug 15 · 16:25A. Rek43611411113O. Fiklik3811611372
LAug 8 · 17:25A. Rek511111131242O. Fiklik53671514113
WAug 7 · 11:20A. Rek42114511113O. Fiklik4191111372
WJul 31 · 15:50A. Rek371115113O. Fiklik2881370
LJun 21 · 09:55A. Rek2691070O. Fiklik341112113
A. Rek10
WSep 11 · 14:25A. Rek1.521112118113O. Fiklik2.35131071182WSep 11 · 13:25D. Hyza1.91113741A. Rek1.8071111113WSep 11 · 10:55V. Jr2.38611491A. Rek1.5311811113WSep 10 · 13:53J. Vonasek2.207111091A. Rek1.6111712113LSep 10 · 12:55J. Vonasek2.38118411113A. Rek1.5381111692LSep 10 · 12:25V. Nadvornik1.672111110113A. Rek2.1011661262LSep 10 · 11:25A. Rek1.5711881162O. Fiklik2.25511115113WSep 9 · 10:25M. Brozek1.4511510111A. Rek2.6061112133WSep 9 · 08:55A. Langer2.207570A. Rek1.611111113LSep 9 · 08:25M. Brozek1.4411911113A. Rek2.63911961
O. Fiklik10
LSep 11 · 14:25A. Rek1.521112118113O. Fiklik2.35131071182WSep 11 · 12:55V. Jr2.2571131132O. Fiklik1.57118119113WSep 11 · 11:25O. Fiklik2.25811128143D. Hyza1.571161011122LSep 10 · 14:25V. Nadvornik1.28116612113O. Fiklik3.15911111072LSep 10 · 13:25O. Fiklik2.505790V. Nadvornik1.501111113WSep 10 · 11:55J. Vonasek1.915141591O. Fiklik1.80111613113WSep 10 · 11:25A. Rek1.5711881162O. Fiklik2.25511115113WSep 9 · 21:20M. Sulc1.3671111982O. Fiklik3.00114411113LSep 9 · 20:20M. Sulc2.20811116113O. Fiklik1.6111271152LSep 9 · 19:50M. Brozek1.571112113O. Fiklik2.2561070
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