TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13103824
Played Sep 9Finished
Martin Sulc
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811112117611115
Ondrej Fiklik
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:57 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fiklik to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Sulc above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 83 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Ondrej Fiklik at 57.7%
83 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sulc 14–16 Ondrej Fiklik Martin Sulc has won 14 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:57What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Fiklik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-16 in 30
Fiklik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulc 1484 vs Fiklik 1490
Fiklik
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulc 20% vs Fiklik 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulc 30% vs Fiklik 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulc -4 · Fiklik -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Fiklik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiklik form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulc 2.20 / Fiklik 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Fiklik)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13103824
Sulc2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 75 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back28% 28 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 59
Fiklik1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite53% won 97 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it90% 45 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it75% 65 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulc4wins
AwayFiklik6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderFiklik leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulc75%3 of 4
AwayFiklik83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulc4Fiklik6n = 10Fiklik took 6 of 10
S2Sulc2Fiklik8n = 10Fiklik took 8 of 10
S3Sulc3Fiklik7n = 10Fiklik took 7 of 10
S4Sulc5Fiklik0n = 5Sulc took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulcFiklikS − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.434.7−1.3per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulcFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 649 vs 555 / 121851.2%45.6%332 / 649 vs 555 / 1218Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiklikSulc 2.20/Fiklik 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Fiklik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sulc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 24 · 07:55M. Sulc—8880O. Fiklik—1111113
LJun 28 · 19:50M. Sulc—11961192O. Fiklik—711119113
LJun 28 · 07:50M. Sulc—5660O. Fiklik—1111113
WJun 27 · 19:55M. Sulc—111011113O. Fiklik—212761
WJun 26 · 19:20M. Sulc—91111133O. Fiklik—1149111
LJun 21 · 08:50M. Sulc—10850O. Fiklik—1211113
WJun 19 · 19:20M. Sulc—11119113O. Fiklik—821131
LJun 10 · 19:20M. Sulc—129110O. Fiklik—1411133
LJun 8 · 19:20M. Sulc—31480O. Fiklik—1116113
WJun 7 · 22:10M. Sulc—12411113O. Fiklik—1011781
M. Sulc10
LSep 9 · 19:20M. Sulc2.003580M. Kulisek1.731111113LSep 9 · 18:20M. Sulc3.0067120M. Brozek1.361111143LSep 7 · 17:55D. Hyza1.4511511113M. Sulc2.60711881LSep 7 · 16:50M. Sulc2.50891141D. Hyza1.5011117113WSep 7 · 15:20A. Rek1.537314101M. Sulc2.38111112123WSep 7 · 14:50M. Sochor1.836880M. Sulc1.831111113LSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113WSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113LSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113
O. Fiklik10
LSep 9 · 19:50M. Brozek1.571112113O. Fiklik2.2561070LSep 9 · 18:50O. Fiklik2.006660M. Kulisek1.731111113LSep 5 · 22:03O. Fiklik2.2510890A. Rek1.571211113WSep 5 · 20:55A. Rek1.61811861O. Fiklik2.2011411113LSep 5 · 20:25M. Brozek1.5711711113O. Fiklik2.25311871WSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672LSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer2.006111011113O. Fiklik1.7311912982LSep 4 · 12:20A. Langer2.0011711113O. Fiklik1.73911531LSep 4 · 11:50M. Brozek1.611114113O. Fiklik2.2091260LSep 4 · 10:50O. Fiklik2.2511811772D. Hyza1.57911411113
Upcoming Matches
M. Sulc
Nothing scheduled
O. Fiklik
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