TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13102719
Played Sep 9Finished
Martin Sulc
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6117111214––––
Michal Brozek
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:57 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Brozek to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sulc above · Michal Brozek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 61 set 3, 12-14 — our read held Michal Brozek at 63.3%
61 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sulc 3–11 Michal Brozek Martin Sulc has won 3 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Brozek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-11 in 14
Brozek
Correct
gap of 8 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulc 1498 vs Brozek 1712
Brozek
Correct
both rated, 214 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulc 40% vs Brozek 80%
Brozek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulc 30% vs Brozek 50%
Brozek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulc -2 · Brozek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Brozek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulc 3.00 / Brozek 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Brozek)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13102719
Sulc3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 75 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back28% 28 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 59
Brozek1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 156 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it86% 81 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it78% 115 of 148
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulc1wins
AwayBrozek9wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBrozek leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulc0%0 of 4
AwayBrozek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulc4Brozek6n = 10Brozek took 6 of 10
S2Sulc2Brozek8n = 10Brozek took 8 of 10
S3Sulc3Brozek7n = 10Brozek took 7 of 10
S4Sulc5Brozek2n = 7Sulc took 5 of 7
S5Sulc0Brozek5n = 5Brozek took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulcBrozekS − BBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.241.1−6.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulcBrozekBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 651 vs 537 / 103051.3%52.1%334 / 651 vs 537 / 1030Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekSulc 3.00/Brozek 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 14:20M. Sulc—21211113M. Brozek—1110651
LMay 26 · 19:20M. Sulc—1660M. Brozek—1111113
LMay 21 · 19:20M. Sulc—7780M. Brozek—1111113
LMay 20 · 22:05M. Sulc—71131152M. Brozek—117119113
LMay 20 · 19:50M. Sulc—11411892M. Brozek—911611113
LMay 17 · 19:20M. Sulc—7670M. Brozek—1111113
LMay 14 · 20:50M. Sulc—1110111192M. Brozek—131275113
LMar 26 · 17:50M. Sulc—118921M. Brozek—61111113
LMar 16 · 19:20M. Sulc—1110511102M. Brozek—612115123
LMar 9 · 20:50M. Sulc—11681162M. Brozek—811119113
M. Sulc10
LSep 7 · 17:55D. Hyza1.4511511113M. Sulc2.60711881LSep 7 · 16:50M. Sulc2.50891141D. Hyza1.5011117113WSep 7 · 15:20A. Rek1.537314101M. Sulc2.38111112123WSep 7 · 14:50M. Sochor1.836880M. Sulc1.831111113LSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113WSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113LSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113LSep 2 · 21:20M. Kulisek1.551111127123M. Sulc2.30531411102LSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780
M. Brozek10
LSep 9 · 10:25M. Brozek1.4511510111A. Rek2.6061112133WSep 9 · 09:25J. Vonasek2.256670M. Brozek1.571111113WSep 9 · 08:25M. Brozek1.4411911113A. Rek2.63911961WSep 9 · 06:55A. Langer2.5011121131M. Brozek1.5013148113WSep 7 · 22:14M. Kulisek2.20116881M. Brozek1.6181111113LSep 7 · 20:55M. Brozek1.619990M. Kulisek2.201111113LSep 7 · 19:55M. Brozek1.83511681P. Benes1.8311711113WSep 7 · 18:55M. Brozek2.751111123D. Bochnak1.4096100LSep 5 · 22:35M. Brozek1.751212881M. Kulisek1.95141011113LSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0017101111113M. Brozek1.7319126672
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