TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101521
Played Sep 9Finished
Jan Vonasek
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611711––––
Michal Brozek
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:50 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Brozek to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Vonasek above · Michal Brozek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Michal Brozek at 62.1%
52 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vonasek 30–55 Michal Brozek Jan Vonasek has won 30 of their 85 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:50What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Brozek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-55 in 85
Brozek
Correct
gap of 25 in 85, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vonasek 1535 vs Brozek 1712
Brozek
Correct
both rated, 176 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vonasek 20% vs Brozek 60%
Brozek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vonasek 20% vs Brozek 60%
Brozek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vonasek -2 · Brozek +3
Brozek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Brozek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vonasek form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVonasek 2.25 / Brozek 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Brozek)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13101521
Vonasek2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 68 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back15% 16 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 60
Brozek1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 156 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it86% 81 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it78% 115 of 148
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVonasek5wins
AwayBrozek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVonasek80%4 of 5
AwayBrozek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vonasek5Brozek5n = 10split evenly
S2Vonasek7Brozek3n = 10Vonasek took 7 of 10
S3Vonasek5Brozek5n = 10split evenly
S4Vonasek4Brozek4n = 8split evenly
S5Vonasek1Brozek2n = 3Brozek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVonasekBrozekV − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.036.6+2.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVonasekBrozekBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 730 vs 536 / 102848.9%52.1%357 / 730 vs 536 / 1028Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekVonasek 2.25/Brozek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 3 · 11:55J. Vonasek—1111113M. Brozek—8870
WJul 25 · 21:25J. Vonasek—1211113M. Brozek—10560
WJul 24 · 10:55J. Vonasek—111179113M. Brozek—57111152
WJul 16 · 19:55J. Vonasek—61211113M. Brozek—1110251
LJul 13 · 20:25J. Vonasek—1281361M. Brozek—101115113
LJul 12 · 18:50J. Vonasek—71191182M. Brozek—117115113
LJul 8 · 14:50J. Vonasek—111111172M. Brozek—131189113
WJul 8 · 11:25J. Vonasek—11117113M. Brozek—931191
LJul 5 · 09:58J. Vonasek—791171M. Brozek—11114113
LJul 5 · 08:55J. Vonasek—1011851M. Brozek—12811113
J. Vonasek10
LSep 9 · 07:55A. Langer2.381111113J. Vonasek1.537480LSep 9 · 07:25A. Rek1.53811117113J. Vonasek2.3811451112WSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113LSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:50D. Hyza1.611111133J. Vonasek2.2086110LSep 6 · 18:50J. Vonasek2.10410110M. Kulisek1.671112133LSep 4 · 09:59J. Vonasek2.20111951A. Rek1.6191111113LSep 4 · 08:55J. Vonasek2.25611114102V. Nadvornik1.57117911123WSep 4 · 07:55J. Vonasek2.38781211113A. Rek1.53111110842LSep 4 · 06:55J. Vonasek2.75711120J. Benak1.401113143
M. Brozek10
WSep 9 · 08:25M. Brozek1.4411911113A. Rek2.63911961WSep 9 · 06:55A. Langer2.5011121131M. Brozek1.5013148113WSep 7 · 22:14M. Kulisek2.20116881M. Brozek1.6181111113LSep 7 · 20:55M. Brozek1.619990M. Kulisek2.201111113LSep 7 · 19:55M. Brozek1.83511681P. Benes1.8311711113WSep 7 · 18:55M. Brozek2.751111123D. Bochnak1.4096100LSep 5 · 22:35M. Brozek1.751212881M. Kulisek1.95141011113LSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0017101111113M. Brozek1.7319126672WSep 5 · 20:25M. Brozek1.5711711113O. Fiklik2.25311871WSep 5 · 18:55A. Rek2.50861161M. Brozek1.5011116113
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