TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101564
Played Sep 9Finished
Michal Brozek
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119911119116––
Adam Martin Rek
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:57 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Brozek to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Brozek above · Adam Martin Rek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 77 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Michal Brozek at 66.5%
77 points played in total.
H2H Michal Brozek 26–12 Adam Martin Rek Adam Martin Rek has won 12 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Brozek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-12 in 38
Brozek
Correct
gap of 14 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1702 vs Rek 1616
Brozek
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 60% vs Rek 40%
Brozek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 60% vs Rek 40%
Brozek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek +2 · Rek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Brozek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.44 / Rek 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Brozek)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13101564
Brozek1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 156 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it86% 81 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it78% 115 of 148
Rek2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog57% won 39 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back39% 11 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrozek6wins
AwayRek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBrozek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrozek100%4 of 4
AwayRek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brozek4Rek6n = 10Rek took 6 of 10
S2Brozek7Rek3n = 10Brozek took 7 of 10
S3Brozek7Rek3n = 10Brozek took 7 of 10
S4Brozek4Rek2n = 6Brozek took 4 of 6
S5Brozek1Rek2n = 3Rek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrozekRekB − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.935.6+2.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekRekBasisWin rate · lifetime535 / 1027 vs 314 / 54152.1%58%535 / 1027 vs 314 / 541Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.44/Rek 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 20:25M. Brozek—71111113A. Rek—118931
WAug 20 · 16:55M. Brozek—1211113A. Rek—10350
WAug 15 · 20:25M. Brozek—1111113A. Rek—8650
LAug 7 · 13:49M. Brozek—87111252A. Rek—1111810113
LAug 7 · 12:50M. Brozek—12780A. Rek—1411113
WJun 14 · 21:20M. Brozek—11128113A. Rek—5101171
WJun 14 · 19:20M. Brozek—611116113A. Rek—11941192
LJun 12 · 08:25M. Brozek—75121192A. Rek—1111109113
LMay 15 · 16:20M. Brozek—811861A. Rek—11911113
WMay 6 · 09:55M. Brozek—1215113A. Rek—101370
M. Brozek10
WSep 9 · 06:55A. Langer2.5011121131M. Brozek1.5013148113WSep 7 · 22:14M. Kulisek2.20116881M. Brozek1.6181111113LSep 7 · 20:55M. Brozek1.619990M. Kulisek2.201111113LSep 7 · 19:55M. Brozek1.83511681P. Benes1.8311711113WSep 7 · 18:55M. Brozek2.751111123D. Bochnak1.4096100LSep 5 · 22:35M. Brozek1.751212881M. Kulisek1.95141011113LSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0017101111113M. Brozek1.7319126672WSep 5 · 20:25M. Brozek1.5711711113O. Fiklik2.25311871WSep 5 · 18:55A. Rek2.50861161M. Brozek1.5011116113WSep 4 · 14:00D. Hyza1.90135101162M. Brozek1.801111127113
A. Rek10
WSep 9 · 08:55A. Langer2.207570A. Rek1.611111113WSep 9 · 07:25A. Rek1.53811117113J. Vonasek2.3811451112LSep 7 · 17:24A. Rek1.538790M. Sochor2.381111113WSep 7 · 16:20A. Rek1.441111143M. Sochor2.6339120LSep 7 · 15:20A. Rek1.537314101M. Sulc2.38111112123LSep 7 · 14:20A. Rek1.67511591D. Hyza2.1011711113WSep 5 · 22:03O. Fiklik2.2510890A. Rek1.571211113LSep 5 · 20:55A. Rek1.61811861O. Fiklik2.2011411113LSep 5 · 19:55A. Rek1.83119781M. Kulisek1.8381111113LSep 5 · 18:55A. Rek2.50861161M. Brozek1.5011116113
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