TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101178
Played Sep 9Finished
Ales Langer
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11131214118311––
Michal Brozek
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAles Langer to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAles Langer above · Michal Brozek below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 83 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Ales Langer at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Ales Langer 9–13 Michal Brozek Ales Langer has won 9 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:29What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Brozek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-13 in 22
Brozek
Correct
gap of 4 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Langer 1637 vs Brozek 1702
Brozek
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 80% vs Brozek 40%
Langer
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 70% vs Brozek 50%
Langer
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer +4 · Brozek +1
Langer
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Brozek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozek form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 2.50 / Brozek 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Brozek)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13101178
Langer2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 69 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back30% 24 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Brozek1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 156 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it86% 81 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it78% 115 of 148
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLanger3wins
AwayBrozek7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBrozek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLanger33.3%1 of 3
AwayBrozek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer3Brozek7n = 10Brozek took 7 of 10
S2Langer3Brozek7n = 10Brozek took 7 of 10
S3Langer3Brozek7n = 10Brozek took 7 of 10
S4Langer1Brozek5n = 6Brozek took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricLangerBrozekL − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.539.2−5.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerBrozekBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 523 vs 535 / 102749%52.1%256 / 523 vs 535 / 1027Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekLanger 2.50/Brozek 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 8 · 11:55A. Langer—9870M. Brozek—1111113
WJun 12 · 06:55A. Langer—11911133M. Brozek—8116111
LMay 27 · 07:40A. Langer—11710111M. Brozek—91112133
LOct 25 · 11:55A. Langer—6970M. Brozek—1111113
LOct 22 · 09:25A. Langer—12770M. Brozek—1411113
LOct 21 · 07:25A. Langer—117781M. Brozek—91111113
WOct 4 · 15:25A. Langer—811111083M. Brozek—11981212
LSep 6 · 18:05A. Langer—9660M. Brozek—1111113
WSep 6 · 16:55A. Langer—813124113M. Brozek—1111101182
LJul 16 · 10:20A. Langer—411781M. Brozek—11911113
A. Langer10
WSep 8 · 13:50A. Langer1.851111125113V. Jr1.85513101182WSep 8 · 12:50D. Sykora1.9116100A. Langer1.801111123WSep 8 · 11:50A. Langer1.83128124113V. Jr1.831011101182WSep 8 · 10:20D. Sochor2.505114111A. Langer1.5011811133LSep 7 · 13:23A. Langer1.5791414652D. Sykora2.2511121211113LSep 7 · 12:50M. Beran2.001111113A. Langer1.736440WSep 7 · 11:50A. Langer1.611411113D. Sykora2.2012490LSep 7 · 10:20V. Jr1.8011116113A. Langer1.91641171WSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer2.006111011113O. Fiklik1.7311912982WSep 4 · 12:20A. Langer2.0011711113O. Fiklik1.73911531
M. Brozek10
WSep 7 · 22:14M. Kulisek2.20116881M. Brozek1.6181111113LSep 7 · 20:55M. Brozek1.619990M. Kulisek2.201111113LSep 7 · 19:55M. Brozek1.83511681P. Benes1.8311711113WSep 7 · 18:55M. Brozek2.751111123D. Bochnak1.4096100LSep 5 · 22:35M. Brozek1.751212881M. Kulisek1.95141011113LSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0017101111113M. Brozek1.7319126672WSep 5 · 20:25M. Brozek1.5711711113O. Fiklik2.25311871WSep 5 · 18:55A. Rek2.50861161M. Brozek1.5011116113WSep 4 · 14:00D. Hyza1.90135101162M. Brozek1.801111127113LSep 4 · 12:50D. Hyza1.919111211113M. Brozek1.80111310962
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.