TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13105872
Played Sep 10Finished
Ondrej Fiklik
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711911––––
Vaclav Nadvornik
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:55 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeVaclav Nadvornik to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Fiklik above · Vaclav Nadvornik below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Vaclav Nadvornik at 62.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Fiklik 13–29 Vaclav Nadvornik Ondrej Fiklik has won 13 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:55What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Nadvornik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-29 in 42
Nadvornik
Correct
gap of 16 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fiklik 1520 vs Nadvornik 1673
Nadvornik
Correct
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fiklik 60% vs Nadvornik 80%
Nadvornik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fiklik 50% vs Nadvornik 70%
Nadvornik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fiklik +3 · Nadvornik +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Nadvornik) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nadvornik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFiklik 2.50 / Nadvornik 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Nadvornik)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13105872
Fiklik2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 127 of 323
Down 0–1, comes back21% 36 of 175
Down 0–2, comes back12% 13 of 108
Nadvornik1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 31 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it77% 20 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFiklik3wins
AwayNadvornik7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderNadvornik leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFiklik60%3 of 5
AwayNadvornik100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fiklik5Nadvornik5n = 10split evenly
S2Fiklik2Nadvornik8n = 10Nadvornik took 8 of 10
S3Fiklik6Nadvornik4n = 10Fiklik took 6 of 10
S4Fiklik2Nadvornik5n = 7Nadvornik took 5 of 7
S5Fiklik1Nadvornik2n = 3Nadvornik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFiklikNadvornikF − NBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.038.6−3.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiklikNadvornikBasisWin rate · lifetime558 / 1218 vs 169 / 31445.8%53.8%558 / 1218 vs 169 / 314Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NadvornikFiklik 2.50/Nadvornik 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Nadvornik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Nadvornik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 18 · 08:25O. Fiklik—68100V. Nadvornik—1111123
LMar 17 · 09:25O. Fiklik—881381V. Nadvornik—111111113
WFeb 27 · 08:50O. Fiklik—111179113V. Nadvornik—95111172
LFeb 26 · 08:25O. Fiklik—751161V. Nadvornik—11119113
LFeb 20 · 21:55O. Fiklik—1780V. Nadvornik—1111113
LFeb 19 · 08:50O. Fiklik—761191V. Nadvornik—11116113
WJan 23 · 09:25O. Fiklik—11811113V. Nadvornik—611981
LJan 19 · 09:25O. Fiklik—146111132V. Nadvornik—1211413113
LJan 16 · 09:55O. Fiklik—11661462V. Nadvornik—9111112113
WJan 5 · 10:55O. Fiklik—1111113V. Nadvornik—5610
O. Fiklik10
WSep 10 · 11:55J. Vonasek1.915141591O. Fiklik1.80111613113WSep 10 · 11:25A. Rek1.5711881162O. Fiklik2.25511115113WSep 9 · 21:20M. Sulc1.3671111982O. Fiklik3.00114411113LSep 9 · 20:20M. Sulc2.20811116113O. Fiklik1.6111271152LSep 9 · 19:50M. Brozek1.571112113O. Fiklik2.2561070LSep 9 · 18:50O. Fiklik2.006660M. Kulisek1.731111113LSep 5 · 22:03O. Fiklik2.2510890A. Rek1.571211113WSep 5 · 20:55A. Rek1.61811861O. Fiklik2.2011411113LSep 5 · 20:25M. Brozek1.5711711113O. Fiklik2.25311871WSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672
V. Nadvornik10
WSep 10 · 12:25V. Nadvornik1.672111110113A. Rek2.1011661262WSep 10 · 10:55J. Vonasek2.509133111V. Nadvornik1.50111111133WSep 4 · 10:28J. Benak1.7114951182V. Nadvornik2.001211113113WSep 4 · 08:55J. Vonasek2.25611114102V. Nadvornik1.57117911123LSep 4 · 08:25J. Benak1.731111117113V. Nadvornik2.0013951152WSep 4 · 07:25V. Nadvornik1.8381111113A. Rek1.83118871LAug 25 · 10:23V. Nadvornik1.30106111762V. Jr3.401211315113LAug 25 · 09:25M. Beran2.381111113V. Nadvornik1.534570WAug 25 · 08:25V. Nadvornik1.25611911113V. Jr3.7511611752WAug 25 · 06:55A. Langer2.2061180V. Nadvornik1.611113113
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