TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13106146
Played Sep 10Finished
Jan Vonasek
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91113113111113––
Vaclav Nadvornik
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeVaclav Nadvornik to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Vonasek above · Vaclav Nadvornik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 82 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Vaclav Nadvornik at 65.7%
82 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vonasek 2–6 Vaclav Nadvornik Jan Vonasek has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Nadvornik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Nadvornik
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vonasek 1534 vs Nadvornik 1655
Nadvornik
Correct
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vonasek 40% vs Nadvornik 60%
Nadvornik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vonasek 20% vs Nadvornik 60%
Nadvornik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vonasek +1 · Nadvornik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Nadvornik) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVonasek 2.50 / Nadvornik 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Nadvornik)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13106146
Vonasek2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 67 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back15% 16 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 61
Nadvornik1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 31 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it77% 20 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeVonasek2wins
AwayNadvornik6wins
2 of 8 to a deciderNadvornik leads 6–2, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVonasekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayNadvornik85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vonasek1Nadvornik7n = 8Nadvornik took 7 of 8
S2Vonasek3Nadvornik5n = 8Nadvornik took 5 of 8
S3Vonasek6Nadvornik2n = 8Vonasek took 6 of 8
S4Vonasek2Nadvornik3n = 5Nadvornik took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricVonasekNadvornikV − NBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set17−6of 8Avg pointsper match36.639.5−2.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVonasekNadvornikBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 728 vs 167 / 31249%53.5%357 / 728 vs 167 / 312Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NadvornikVonasek 2.50/Nadvornik 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Nadvornik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Nadvornik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 4 · 08:55J. Vonasek—611114102V. Nadvornik—117911123
WAug 22 · 18:29J. Vonasek—111111113V. Nadvornik—135771
WAug 22 · 14:55J. Vonasek—1111143V. Nadvornik—97120
LFeb 27 · 10:28J. Vonasek—781391V. Nadvornik—111111113
LFeb 27 · 07:20J. Vonasek—71090V. Nadvornik—1112113
LFeb 18 · 10:50J. Vonasek—5760V. Nadvornik—1111113
LFeb 18 · 07:20J. Vonasek—99111172V. Nadvornik—111158113
LOct 20 · 08:55J. Vonasek—7911161V. Nadvornik—11119183
J. Vonasek10
LSep 10 · 11:55J. Vonasek1.915141591O. Fiklik1.80111613113WSep 9 · 09:55A. Langer2.25561161J. Vonasek1.5711117113LSep 9 · 09:25J. Vonasek2.256670M. Brozek1.571111113LSep 9 · 07:55A. Langer2.381111113J. Vonasek1.537480LSep 9 · 07:25A. Rek1.53811117113J. Vonasek2.3811451112WSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113LSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:50D. Hyza1.611111133J. Vonasek2.2086110LSep 6 · 18:50J. Vonasek2.10410110M. Kulisek1.671112133LSep 4 · 09:59J. Vonasek2.20111951A. Rek1.6191111113
V. Nadvornik10
WSep 10 · 12:25V. Nadvornik1.672111110113A. Rek2.1011661262WSep 4 · 10:28J. Benak1.7114951182V. Nadvornik2.001211113113WSep 4 · 08:55J. Vonasek2.25611114102V. Nadvornik1.57117911123LSep 4 · 08:25J. Benak1.731111117113V. Nadvornik2.0013951152WSep 4 · 07:25V. Nadvornik1.8381111113A. Rek1.83118871LAug 25 · 10:23V. Nadvornik1.30106111762V. Jr3.401211315113LAug 25 · 09:25M. Beran2.381111113V. Nadvornik1.534570WAug 25 · 08:25V. Nadvornik1.25611911113V. Jr3.7511611752WAug 25 · 06:55A. Langer2.2061180V. Nadvornik1.611113113LAug 22 · 18:29J. Vonasek2.38111111113V. Nadvornik1.53135771
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