TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13008306
Played Aug 25Finished
Vaclav Nadvornik
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611116911117115
Vaclav Hejda Jr
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:56 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Nadvornik to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Nadvornik above · Vaclav Hejda Jr below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 88 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Vaclav Nadvornik at 75.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Nadvornik 2–0 Vaclav Hejda Jr Vaclav Hejda Jr has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:56What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Nadvornik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Nadvornik 1637 vs Jr 1538
Nadvornik
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nadvornik 60% vs Jr 20%
Nadvornik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nadvornik 40% vs Jr 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nadvornik +1 · Jr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Nadvornik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nadvornik form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNadvornik 1.25 / Jr 3.75
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Nadvornik)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13008306
Nadvornik1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 33 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it75% 24 of 32
Jr3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 85 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back27% 23 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeNadvornik2wins
AwayJr0wins
Nadvornik leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricNadvornikJrN − JBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match42.532.5+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNadvornikJrBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 313 vs 372 / 77652.4%47.9%164 / 313 vs 372 / 776Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.339.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NadvornikNadvornik 1.25/Jr 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Nadvornik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Nadvornik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WFeb 18 · 09:50V. Nadvornik—11911113V. Jr—411861
WOct 7 · 08:25V. Nadvornik—11138113V. Jr—6111181
V. Nadvornik10
WSep 4 · 10:28J. Benak1.7114951182V. Nadvornik2.001211113113WSep 4 · 08:55J. Vonasek2.25611114102V. Nadvornik1.57117911123LSep 4 · 08:25J. Benak1.731111117113V. Nadvornik2.0013951152WSep 4 · 07:25V. Nadvornik1.8381111113A. Rek1.83118871LAug 25 · 10:23V. Nadvornik1.30106111762V. Jr3.401211315113LAug 25 · 09:25M. Beran2.381111113V. Nadvornik1.534570WAug 25 · 06:55A. Langer2.2061180V. Nadvornik1.611113113LAug 22 · 18:29J. Vonasek2.38111111113V. Nadvornik1.53135771WAug 22 · 16:55V. Nadvornik1.3091111113M. Kulisek3.40116771WAug 22 · 15:55V. Nadvornik1.501113113O. Fiklik2.5081160
V. Jr10
LSep 2 · 13:19A. Langer1.8371411113V. Jr1.871112391LSep 2 · 12:20A. Langer1.801111113V. Jr1.917480LSep 2 · 11:50A. Rek1.501413113V. Jr2.50121180LSep 2 · 10:50V. Jr2.00712571J. Vonasek1.73111011113WSep 1 · 14:35V. Jr2.5011115183A. Rek1.487611161WSep 1 · 13:25V. Jr2.38511714113O. Fiklik1.53117111292WSep 1 · 11:55A. Langer1.8011101251V. Jr1.91131210113WSep 1 · 11:25A. Rek1.50861161V. Jr2.5011118113WAug 31 · 13:23V. Jr1.7371111113M. Sulc2.00117641WAug 25 · 10:23V. Nadvornik1.30106111762V. Jr3.401211315113
Upcoming Matches
V. Nadvornik
Nothing scheduled
V. Jr
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