TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12475813
Played Aug 22Finished
Vaclav Nadvornik
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181311116––––
Ondrej Fiklik
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:56 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeVaclav Nadvornik to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Nadvornik above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 60 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Vaclav Nadvornik at 66.5%
60 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Nadvornik 29–13 Ondrej Fiklik Ondrej Fiklik has won 13 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:56What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Nadvornik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-13 in 42
Nadvornik
Correct
gap of 16 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nadvornik 1624 vs Fiklik 1466
Nadvornik
Correct
both rated, 158 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nadvornik 20% vs Fiklik 0%
Nadvornik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nadvornik 30% vs Fiklik 10%
Nadvornik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nadvornik -3 · Fiklik -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Nadvornik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiklik form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNadvornik 1.50 / Fiklik 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Nadvornik)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12475813
Nadvornik1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 31 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it77% 23 of 30
Fiklik2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 136 of 325
Down 0–1, comes back22% 38 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back13% 13 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNadvornik7wins
AwayFiklik3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderNadvornik leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNadvornik100%5 of 5
AwayFiklik60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nadvornik5Fiklik5n = 10split evenly
S2Nadvornik8Fiklik2n = 10Nadvornik took 8 of 10
S3Nadvornik4Fiklik6n = 10Fiklik took 6 of 10
S4Nadvornik5Fiklik2n = 7Nadvornik took 5 of 7
S5Nadvornik2Fiklik1n = 3Nadvornik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNadvornikFiklikN − FBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.635.0+3.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNadvornikFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 312 vs 557 / 121652.2%45.8%163 / 312 vs 557 / 1216Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NadvornikNadvornik 1.50/Fiklik 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Nadvornik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nadvornik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 18 · 08:25V. Nadvornik—1111123O. Fiklik—68100
WMar 17 · 09:25V. Nadvornik—111111113O. Fiklik—881381
LFeb 27 · 08:50V. Nadvornik—95111172O. Fiklik—111179113
WFeb 26 · 08:25V. Nadvornik—11119113O. Fiklik—751161
WFeb 20 · 21:55V. Nadvornik—1111113O. Fiklik—1780
WFeb 19 · 08:50V. Nadvornik—11116113O. Fiklik—761191
LJan 23 · 09:25V. Nadvornik—611981O. Fiklik—11811113
WJan 19 · 09:25V. Nadvornik—1211413113O. Fiklik—146111132
WJan 16 · 09:55V. Nadvornik—9111112113O. Fiklik—11661462
LJan 5 · 10:55V. Nadvornik—5610O. Fiklik—1111113
V. Nadvornik10
WSep 4 · 10:28J. Benak1.7114951182V. Nadvornik2.001211113113WSep 4 · 08:55J. Vonasek2.25611114102V. Nadvornik1.57117911123LSep 4 · 08:25J. Benak1.731111117113V. Nadvornik2.0013951152WSep 4 · 07:25V. Nadvornik1.8381111113A. Rek1.83118871LAug 25 · 10:23V. Nadvornik1.30106111762V. Jr3.401211315113LAug 25 · 09:25M. Beran2.381111113V. Nadvornik1.534570WAug 25 · 08:25V. Nadvornik1.25611911113V. Jr3.7511611752WAug 25 · 06:55A. Langer2.2061180V. Nadvornik1.611113113LAug 22 · 18:29J. Vonasek2.38111111113V. Nadvornik1.53135771WAug 22 · 16:55V. Nadvornik1.3091111113M. Kulisek3.40116771
O. Fiklik10
LSep 5 · 22:03O. Fiklik2.2510890A. Rek1.571211113WSep 5 · 20:55A. Rek1.61811861O. Fiklik2.2011411113LSep 5 · 20:25M. Brozek1.5711711113O. Fiklik2.25311871WSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672LSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer2.006111011113O. Fiklik1.7311912982LSep 4 · 12:20A. Langer2.0011711113O. Fiklik1.73911531LSep 4 · 11:50M. Brozek1.611114113O. Fiklik2.2091260LSep 4 · 10:50O. Fiklik2.2511811772D. Hyza1.57911411113LSep 2 · 21:50M. Brozek1.601111113O. Fiklik2.206640WSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780
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