TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12476820
Played Aug 22Finished
Jan Vonasek
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113115117117––
Vaclav Nadvornik
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJan Vonasek above · Vaclav Nadvornik below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 76 set 4, 11-7
76 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vonasek 0–5 Vaclav Nadvornik Jan Vonasek has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Nadvornik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nadvornik form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVonasek 2.38 / Nadvornik 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Nadvornik)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12476820
Vonasek2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 64 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back15% 16 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 62
Nadvornik1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 31 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it77% 23 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVonasek0wins
AwayNadvornik5wins
1 of 5 to a deciderNadvornik leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVonasekn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayNadvornik100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vonasek0Nadvornik5n = 5Nadvornik took 5 of 5
S2Vonasek0Nadvornik5n = 5Nadvornik took 5 of 5
S3Vonasek3Nadvornik2n = 5Vonasek took 3 of 5
S4Vonasek1Nadvornik2n = 3Nadvornik took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricVonasekNadvornikV − NBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set05−5of 5Avg pointsper match34.241.2−7.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVonasekNadvornikBasisWin rate · lifetime348 / 708 vs 163 / 31149.2%52.4%348 / 708 vs 163 / 311Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NadvornikVonasek 2.38/Nadvornik 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.8%
Nadvornik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vonasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LFeb 27 · 10:28J. Vonasek—781391V. Nadvornik—111111113
LFeb 27 · 07:20J. Vonasek—71090V. Nadvornik—1112113
LFeb 18 · 10:50J. Vonasek—5760V. Nadvornik—1111113
LFeb 18 · 07:20J. Vonasek—99111172V. Nadvornik—111158113
LOct 20 · 08:55J. Vonasek—7911161V. Nadvornik—11119183
J. Vonasek10
WSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113LSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:50D. Hyza1.611111133J. Vonasek2.2086110LSep 6 · 18:50J. Vonasek2.10410110M. Kulisek1.671112133LSep 4 · 09:59J. Vonasek2.20111951A. Rek1.6191111113LSep 4 · 08:55J. Vonasek2.25611114102V. Nadvornik1.57117911123WSep 4 · 07:55J. Vonasek2.38781211113A. Rek1.53111110842LSep 4 · 06:55J. Vonasek2.75711120J. Benak1.401113143LSep 2 · 13:50A. Rek1.5011911113J. Vonasek2.40711871LSep 2 · 12:50J. Vonasek2.38641161A. Rek1.5311114113
V. Nadvornik10
WSep 4 · 10:28J. Benak1.7114951182V. Nadvornik2.001211113113WSep 4 · 08:55J. Vonasek2.25611114102V. Nadvornik1.57117911123LSep 4 · 08:25J. Benak1.731111117113V. Nadvornik2.0013951152WSep 4 · 07:25V. Nadvornik1.8381111113A. Rek1.83118871LAug 25 · 10:23V. Nadvornik1.30106111762V. Jr3.401211315113LAug 25 · 09:25M. Beran2.381111113V. Nadvornik1.534570WAug 25 · 08:25V. Nadvornik1.25611911113V. Jr3.7511611752WAug 25 · 06:55A. Langer2.2061180V. Nadvornik1.611113113WAug 22 · 16:55V. Nadvornik1.3091111113M. Kulisek3.40116771WAug 22 · 15:55V. Nadvornik1.501113113O. Fiklik2.5081160
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