TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13105873
Played Sep 10Finished
Jan Vonasek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
51114161513911––
Ondrej Fiklik
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fiklik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Vonasek above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 94 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Ondrej Fiklik at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vonasek 49–60 Ondrej Fiklik Jan Vonasek has won 49 of their 109 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:55What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Fiklik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
49-60 in 109
Fiklik
Correct
gap of 11 in 109, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vonasek 1526 vs Fiklik 1491
Vonasek
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vonasek 20% vs Fiklik 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vonasek 20% vs Fiklik 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vonasek -1 · Fiklik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vonasek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiklik form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVonasek 1.91 / Fiklik 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fiklik)-5.5pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13105873
Vonasek1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 67 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back15% 16 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 61
Fiklik1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 97 of 185
Up 2–0, closes it90% 45 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it74% 65 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVonasek1wins
AwayFiklik9wins
6 of 10 to a deciderFiklik leads 9–1, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVonasekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayFiklik87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vonasek2Fiklik8n = 10Fiklik took 8 of 10
S2Vonasek2Fiklik8n = 10Fiklik took 8 of 10
S3Vonasek7Fiklik3n = 10Vonasek took 7 of 10
S4Vonasek3Fiklik5n = 8Fiklik took 5 of 8
S5Vonasek1Fiklik5n = 6Fiklik took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVonasekFiklikV − FBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.043.2−4.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVonasekFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 729 vs 556 / 122049%45.6%357 / 729 vs 556 / 1220Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VonasekVonasek 1.91/Fiklik 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vonasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fiklik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 07:25J. Vonasek—81280O. Fiklik—1114113
LAug 13 · 07:55J. Vonasek—51212482O. Fiklik—11101011113
LAug 10 · 07:55J. Vonasek—81190O. Fiklik—1113113
WAug 3 · 12:55J. Vonasek—991111133O. Fiklik—111167112
LJul 24 · 10:39J. Vonasek—98141162O. Fiklik—1111124113
LJul 24 · 07:25J. Vonasek—88131182O. Fiklik—1111115113
LJul 13 · 21:58J. Vonasek—461161O. Fiklik—11112113
LJul 13 · 20:55J. Vonasek—11116862O. Fiklik—721111113
LJul 12 · 21:23J. Vonasek—911181O. Fiklik—11116113
LJul 12 · 20:20J. Vonasek—11911692O. Fiklik—911611113
J. Vonasek10
LSep 10 · 10:55J. Vonasek2.509133111V. Nadvornik1.50111111133WSep 9 · 09:55A. Langer2.25561161J. Vonasek1.5711117113LSep 9 · 09:25J. Vonasek2.256670M. Brozek1.571111113LSep 9 · 07:55A. Langer2.381111113J. Vonasek1.537480LSep 9 · 07:25A. Rek1.53811117113J. Vonasek2.3811451112WSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113LSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:50D. Hyza1.611111133J. Vonasek2.2086110LSep 6 · 18:50J. Vonasek2.10410110M. Kulisek1.671112133LSep 4 · 09:59J. Vonasek2.20111951A. Rek1.6191111113
O. Fiklik10
WSep 10 · 11:25A. Rek1.5711881162O. Fiklik2.25511115113WSep 9 · 21:20M. Sulc1.3671111982O. Fiklik3.00114411113LSep 9 · 20:20M. Sulc2.20811116113O. Fiklik1.6111271152LSep 9 · 19:50M. Brozek1.571112113O. Fiklik2.2561070LSep 9 · 18:50O. Fiklik2.006660M. Kulisek1.731111113LSep 5 · 22:03O. Fiklik2.2510890A. Rek1.571211113WSep 5 · 20:55A. Rek1.61811861O. Fiklik2.2011411113LSep 5 · 20:25M. Brozek1.5711711113O. Fiklik2.25311871WSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672LSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer2.006111011113O. Fiklik1.7311912982
Upcoming Matches
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O. Fiklik
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