TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13105874
Played Sep 10Finished
Adam Martin Rek
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115811811115611
Ondrej Fiklik
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:55 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeAdam Martin Rek to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Martin Rek above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 87 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Adam Martin Rek at 58.5%
87 points played in total.
H2H Adam Martin Rek 31–20 Ondrej Fiklik Ondrej Fiklik has won 20 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:55What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Rek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-20 in 51
Rek
Wrong
gap of 11 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rek 1629 vs Fiklik 1491
Rek
Wrong
both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rek 60% vs Fiklik 20%
Rek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rek 50% vs Fiklik 30%
Rek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rek +2 · Fiklik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Rek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiklik form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRek 1.57 / Fiklik 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Rek)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13105874
Rek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 105 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it89% 48 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it70% 75 of 107
Fiklik2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 127 of 323
Down 0–1, comes back21% 36 of 175
Down 0–2, comes back12% 13 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRek6wins
AwayFiklik4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRek83.3%5 of 6
AwayFiklik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rek6Fiklik4n = 10Rek took 6 of 10
S2Rek8Fiklik2n = 10Rek took 8 of 10
S3Rek3Fiklik7n = 10Fiklik took 7 of 10
S4Rek3Fiklik3n = 6split evenly
S5Rek2Fiklik1n = 3Rek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRekFiklikR − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.235.9+1.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRekFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime312 / 536 vs 556 / 122058.2%45.6%312 / 536 vs 556 / 1220Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RekRek 1.57/Fiklik 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Rek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fiklik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 22:03A. Rek—1211113O. Fiklik—10890
LSep 5 · 20:55A. Rek—811861O. Fiklik—11411113
WSep 1 · 12:25A. Rek—1111123O. Fiklik—99100
WAug 21 · 12:25A. Rek—11115113O. Fiklik—841181
LAug 16 · 18:55A. Rek—6111161O. Fiklik—11713113
WAug 15 · 16:25A. Rek—611411113O. Fiklik—11611372
LAug 8 · 17:25A. Rek—1111131242O. Fiklik—671514113
WAug 7 · 11:20A. Rek—114511113O. Fiklik—91111372
WJul 31 · 15:50A. Rek—1115113O. Fiklik—81370
LJun 21 · 09:55A. Rek—91070O. Fiklik—1112113
A. Rek10
LSep 10 · 12:25V. Nadvornik1.672111110113A. Rek2.1011661262WSep 9 · 10:25M. Brozek1.4511510111A. Rek2.6061112133WSep 9 · 08:55A. Langer2.207570A. Rek1.611111113LSep 9 · 08:25M. Brozek1.4411911113A. Rek2.63911961WSep 9 · 07:25A. Rek1.53811117113J. Vonasek2.3811451112LSep 7 · 17:24A. Rek1.538790M. Sochor2.381111113WSep 7 · 16:20A. Rek1.441111143M. Sochor2.6339120LSep 7 · 15:20A. Rek1.537314101M. Sulc2.38111112123LSep 7 · 14:20A. Rek1.67511591D. Hyza2.1011711113WSep 5 · 22:03O. Fiklik2.2510890A. Rek1.571211113
O. Fiklik10
WSep 10 · 11:55J. Vonasek1.915141591O. Fiklik1.80111613113WSep 9 · 21:20M. Sulc1.3671111982O. Fiklik3.00114411113LSep 9 · 20:20M. Sulc2.20811116113O. Fiklik1.6111271152LSep 9 · 19:50M. Brozek1.571112113O. Fiklik2.2561070LSep 9 · 18:50O. Fiklik2.006660M. Kulisek1.731111113LSep 5 · 22:03O. Fiklik2.2510890A. Rek1.571211113WSep 5 · 20:55A. Rek1.61811861O. Fiklik2.2011411113LSep 5 · 20:25M. Brozek1.5711711113O. Fiklik2.25311871WSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672LSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer2.006111011113O. Fiklik1.7311912982
Upcoming Matches
A. Rek
Nothing scheduled
O. Fiklik
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