Jan Vonasek vs Adam Martin Rek 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13110027

Played Sep 10Finished

Jan Vonasek

Home

2.20

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

7111171012911––

Adam Martin Rek

Away

1.62

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

How it is goingJan Vonasek above · Adam Martin Rek below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 10-12

Set 4 · 9-11

Point 78 set 4, 9-11

78 points played in total.

H2H Jan Vonasek 28–43 Adam Martin Rek Jan Vonasek has won 28 of their 71 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

Same-day rematch · 1h before this match

Vonasek beat Rek 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Rek)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Rek form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVonasek 2.20 / Rek 1.61

Signal prob.42% / 58%

Edge (Rek)+0.4pp

TT Cup · #13110027

Vonasek2.20

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog36% won 67 of 185

Down 0–1, comes back15% 16 of 106

Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 61

Rek1.61

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite57% won 105 of 184

Up 2–0, closes it89% 48 of 54

Up 1–0, closes it70% 75 of 107

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeVonasek3wins

AwayRek7wins

4 of 10 to a deciderRek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeVonasek50%2 of 4

AwayRek83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Vonasek4Rek6n = 10Rek took 6 of 10

S2Vonasek4Rek6n = 10Rek took 6 of 10

S3Vonasek3Rek7n = 10Rek took 7 of 10

S4Vonasek4Rek5n = 9Rek took 5 of 9

S5Vonasek2Rek2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away440%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricVonasekRekV − RBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.741.7−7.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVonasekRekBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 731 vs 312 / 53949%57.9%358 / 731 vs 312 / 539Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Rek

Vonasek 2.20/Rek 1.61

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

58.1%

Rek · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Rek won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 10 · 12:55J. Vonasek—118411113A. Rek—81111692

LSep 9 · 07:25J. Vonasek—11451112A. Rek—811117113

LSep 4 · 09:59J. Vonasek—111951A. Rek—91111113

WSep 4 · 07:55J. Vonasek—781211113A. Rek—111110842

LSep 2 · 13:50J. Vonasek—711871A. Rek—11911113

LSep 2 · 12:50J. Vonasek—641161A. Rek—11114113

WAug 31 · 13:55J. Vonasek—11118113A. Rek—981191

LAug 31 · 12:50J. Vonasek—51111562A. Rek—118511113

LAug 17 · 14:10J. Vonasek—611571A. Rek—11911113

LAug 17 · 11:55J. Vonasek—89100A. Rek—1111123

J. Vonasek10

WSep 10 · 12:55J. Vonasek2.38118411113A. Rek1.5381111692 LSep 10 · 11:55J. Vonasek1.915141591O. Fiklik1.80111613113 LSep 10 · 10:55J. Vonasek2.509133111V. Nadvornik1.50111111133 WSep 9 · 09:55A. Langer2.25561161J. Vonasek1.5711117113 LSep 9 · 09:25J. Vonasek2.256670M. Brozek1.571111113 LSep 9 · 07:55A. Langer2.381111113J. Vonasek1.537480 LSep 9 · 07:25A. Rek1.53811117113J. Vonasek2.3811451112 WSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113 LSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271 LSep 6 · 19:50D. Hyza1.611111133J. Vonasek2.2086110

A. Rek10

LSep 10 · 12:55J. Vonasek2.38118411113A. Rek1.5381111692 LSep 10 · 12:25V. Nadvornik1.672111110113A. Rek2.1011661262 LSep 10 · 11:25A. Rek1.5711881162O. Fiklik2.25511115113 WSep 9 · 10:25M. Brozek1.4511510111A. Rek2.6061112133 WSep 9 · 08:55A. Langer2.207570A. Rek1.611111113 LSep 9 · 08:25M. Brozek1.4411911113A. Rek2.63911961 WSep 9 · 07:25A. Rek1.53811117113J. Vonasek2.3811451112 LSep 7 · 17:24A. Rek1.538790M. Sochor2.381111113 WSep 7 · 16:20A. Rek1.441111143M. Sochor2.6339120 LSep 7 · 15:20A. Rek1.537314101M. Sulc2.38111112123

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.