TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13115287
Played Sep 11Finished
Vaclav Hejda Jr
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3111191012211––
Daniel Hyza
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:54 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeDaniel Hyza to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Hejda Jr above · Daniel Hyza below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 69 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Daniel Hyza at 54.2%
69 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hejda Jr 2–2 Daniel Hyza Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:54What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hyza
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1530 vs Hyza 1671
Hyza
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 20% vs Hyza 60%
Hyza
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 50% vs Hyza 80%
Hyza
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -3 · Hyza -2
Jr
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hyza)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (20%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.90 / Hyza 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hyza)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13115287
Jr1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 89 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back26% 23 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 38
Hyza1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite61% won 80 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it86% 60 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeJr2wins
AwayHyza2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr2Hyza2n = 4split evenly
S2Jr2Hyza2n = 4split evenly
S3Jr2Hyza2n = 4split evenly
S4Jr2Hyza2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricJrHyzaJ − HBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match41.543.5−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrHyzaBasisWin rate · lifetime389 / 794 vs 235 / 41449%56.8%389 / 794 vs 235 / 414Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HyzaJr 1.90/Hyza 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.2%
Hyza · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hyza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 11 · 11:55V. Jr—61111133D. Hyza—1195111
WAug 21 · 11:55V. Jr—1112115113D. Hyza—91461192
LApr 28 · 06:55V. Jr—411991D. Hyza—11911113
LOct 23 · 17:25V. Jr—11891132D. Hyza—81111893
V. Jr10
LSep 11 · 12:55V. Jr2.2571131132O. Fiklik1.57118119113WSep 11 · 11:55V. Jr2.6361111133D. Hyza1.441195111LSep 11 · 10:55V. Jr2.38611491A. Rek1.5311811113LSep 8 · 13:50A. Langer1.851111125113V. Jr1.85513101182WSep 8 · 12:20D. Sochor2.25261271V. Jr1.57111110113LSep 8 · 11:50A. Langer1.83128124113V. Jr1.831011101182WSep 8 · 10:50V. Jr1.611211113D. Sykora2.2010780WSep 7 · 13:55M. Beran1.9131111452V. Jr1.80115411113WSep 7 · 12:20V. Jr1.8091111113D. Sykora1.91111861LSep 7 · 11:20V. Jr1.67111166102M. Beran2.10681111123
D. Hyza10
LSep 11 · 13:25D. Hyza1.91113741A. Rek1.8071111113LSep 11 · 11:55V. Jr2.6361111133D. Hyza1.441195111LSep 11 · 11:25O. Fiklik2.25811128143D. Hyza1.571161011122WSep 7 · 17:55D. Hyza1.4511511113M. Sulc2.60711881WSep 7 · 16:50M. Sulc2.50891141D. Hyza1.5011117113WSep 7 · 15:50D. Hyza1.281111113M. Sochor3.508590WSep 7 · 14:20A. Rek1.67511591D. Hyza2.1011711113WSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191WSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 19:50D. Hyza1.611111133J. Vonasek2.2086110
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