TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13111188
Played Sep 11Finished
Vaclav Hejda Jr
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111191151311––
Daniel Hyza
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:35 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeDaniel Hyza to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Hejda Jr above · Daniel Hyza below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 77 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Daniel Hyza at 59.8%
77 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hejda Jr 1–2 Daniel Hyza Vaclav Hejda Jr has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:35What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hyza
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1536 vs Hyza 1720
Hyza
Wrong
both rated, 184 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 40% vs Hyza 100%
Hyza
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 50% vs Hyza 90%
Hyza
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -2 · Hyza +5
Hyza
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Hyza) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyza form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.63 / Hyza 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Hyza)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13111188
Jr2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 89 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back26% 23 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 38
Hyza1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite61% won 80 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it86% 60 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeJr1wins
AwayHyza2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderHyza leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr2Hyza1n = 3Jr took 2 of 3
S2Jr1Hyza2n = 3Hyza took 2 of 3
S3Jr1Hyza2n = 3Hyza took 2 of 3
S4Jr1Hyza2n = 3Hyza took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricJrHyzaJ − HBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.746.0−4.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrHyzaBasisWin rate · lifetime388 / 792 vs 237 / 41549%57.1%388 / 792 vs 237 / 415Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HyzaJr 2.63/Hyza 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Hyza · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 21 · 11:55V. Jr—1112115113D. Hyza—91461192
LApr 28 · 06:55V. Jr—411991D. Hyza—11911113
LOct 23 · 17:25V. Jr—11891132D. Hyza—81111893
V. Jr10
LSep 11 · 13:55V. Jr1.903111021D. Hyza1.8011912113LSep 11 · 12:55V. Jr2.2571131132O. Fiklik1.57118119113LSep 11 · 10:55V. Jr2.38611491A. Rek1.5311811113LSep 8 · 13:50A. Langer1.851111125113V. Jr1.85513101182WSep 8 · 12:20D. Sochor2.25261271V. Jr1.57111110113LSep 8 · 11:50A. Langer1.83128124113V. Jr1.831011101182WSep 8 · 10:50V. Jr1.611211113D. Sykora2.2010780WSep 7 · 13:55M. Beran1.9131111452V. Jr1.80115411113WSep 7 · 12:20V. Jr1.8091111113D. Sykora1.91111861LSep 7 · 11:20V. Jr1.67111166102M. Beran2.10681111123
D. Hyza10
WSep 11 · 13:55V. Jr1.903111021D. Hyza1.8011912113LSep 11 · 13:25D. Hyza1.91113741A. Rek1.8071111113LSep 11 · 11:25O. Fiklik2.25811128143D. Hyza1.571161011122WSep 7 · 17:55D. Hyza1.4511511113M. Sulc2.60711881WSep 7 · 16:50M. Sulc2.50891141D. Hyza1.5011117113WSep 7 · 15:50D. Hyza1.281111113M. Sochor3.508590WSep 7 · 14:20A. Rek1.67511591D. Hyza2.1011711113WSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191WSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 19:50D. Hyza1.611111133J. Vonasek2.2086110
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