TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13116227
Played Sep 11Finished
Ladislav Moravec
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9117111315––––
David Sochor
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:54 and never touched — 72.6% is still 72.6%
Graded at full timeLadislav Moravec to win
72.6%
72.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLadislav Moravec above · David Sochor below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Point 66 set 3, 13-15 — our read held Ladislav Moravec at 72.6%
66 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Moravec 1–1 David Sochor Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Moravec beat Sochor 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:54What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Moravec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1589 vs Sochor 1294
Moravec
Wrong
both rated, 295 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 60% vs Sochor 0%
Moravec
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 50% vs Sochor 20%
Moravec
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec -1 · Sochor -5
Sochor
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sochor form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.30 / Sochor 3.40
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Moravec)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13116227
Moravec1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 27 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Sochor3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog29% won 10 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMoravec1wins
AwaySochor1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMoravecSochorM − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match36.531.5+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecSochorBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 265 vs 102 / 25043%40.8%114 / 265 vs 102 / 250Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.30/Sochor 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.3%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sochor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 11 · 16:25L. Moravec—1111113D. Sochor—5680
LFeb 26 · 15:20L. Moravec—86111142D. Sochor—111147113
L. Moravec10
LSep 11 · 16:55M. Dvorak1.57491111113L. Moravec2.2511114752WSep 11 · 16:25D. Sochor1.675680L. Moravec2.101111113LSep 11 · 15:25L. Moravec2.201011781A. Kral1.6112511113WSep 10 · 18:00J. Hendrych1.65111161252L. Moravec2.10661114113WSep 10 · 16:20L. Moravec2.001211113M. Dolezal1.7310860LSep 10 · 15:20L. Moravec2.25511281J. Hendrych1.5711211113WSep 10 · 14:20L. Moravec1.8311119113Z. Zahradka1.83731161WSep 9 · 13:58P. Chlumsky1.83121191182L. Moravec1.83148115113LSep 9 · 12:55P. Chlumsky2.0012713113L. Moravec1.7310111171LSep 9 · 12:25D. Sykora1.4011811113L. Moravec2.75911751
D. Sochor10
LSep 11 · 17:25A. Kral1.801111133D. Sochor1.9178110LSep 11 · 16:25D. Sochor1.675680L. Moravec2.101111113LSep 11 · 14:55M. Dvorak2.2011117113D. Sochor1.61961171LSep 8 · 13:20D. Sochor2.10117110D. Sykora1.671311133LSep 8 · 12:20D. Sochor2.25261271V. Jr1.57111110113WSep 8 · 11:20D. Sochor2.25113113113D. Sykora1.5781191172LSep 8 · 10:20D. Sochor2.505114111A. Langer1.5011811133WAug 13 · 14:05D. Sochor2.20118147113A. Langer1.61911121162LAug 13 · 12:55D. Sochor1.8094110O. Varecka1.911111133LAug 13 · 11:55D. Sochor2.5057100M. Sulc1.501111123
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