TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12415018
Played Aug 13Finished
David Sochor
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9114111113––––
Ondrej Varecka
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Varecka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Sochor above · Ondrej Varecka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 59 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Ondrej Varecka at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H David Sochor 4–3 Ondrej Varecka Ondrej Varecka has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:01What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sochor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sochor 1317 vs Varecka 1490
Varecka
Correct
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sochor 20% vs Varecka 60%
Varecka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sochor 20% vs Varecka 40%
Varecka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sochor -1 · Varecka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sochor) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sochor form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSochor 1.80 / Varecka 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sochor)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12415018
Sochor1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite39% won 18 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it65% 11 of 17
Varecka1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog54% won 29 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back35% 8 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSochor4wins
AwayVarecka3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderSochor leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSochor100%3 of 3
AwayVarecka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sochor3Varecka4n = 7Varecka took 4 of 7
S2Sochor4Varecka3n = 7Sochor took 4 of 7
S3Sochor5Varecka2n = 7Sochor took 5 of 7
S4Sochor0Varecka4n = 4Varecka took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricSochorVareckaS − VBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match34.635.4−0.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSochorVareckaBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 273 vs 125 / 22342.9%56.1%117 / 273 vs 125 / 223Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.139.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SochorSochor 1.80/Varecka 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sochor · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Varecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 15 · 17:33D. Sochor—1111113O. Varecka—9790
LJul 15 · 14:20D. Sochor—6790O. Varecka—1111113
WJul 10 · 07:25D. Sochor—1111113O. Varecka—4590
WJul 2 · 10:00D. Sochor—114117113O. Varecka—81171172
LJul 2 · 07:55D. Sochor—881281O. Varecka—111110113
WJun 10 · 13:58D. Sochor—411115113O. Varecka—11771182
LJun 10 · 12:55D. Sochor—411891O. Varecka—11811113
D. Sochor10
WAug 13 · 14:05D. Sochor2.20118147113A. Langer1.61911121162LAug 13 · 11:55D. Sochor2.5057100M. Sulc1.501111123WAug 13 · 10:55D. Sochor2.751111123A. Langer1.4069100LAug 11 · 14:09A. Langer1.501111113D. Sochor2.503470LAug 11 · 12:55A. Langer1.571311113D. Sochor2.2511990LAug 11 · 12:25M. Sulc1.6181111153D. Sochor2.201126131LAug 11 · 11:25D. Sochor1.83811591V. Jr1.8311811113LAug 7 · 17:25M. Sochor1.471111113D. Sochor2.506960WAug 7 · 16:20D. Sochor2.501312123J. Hendrych1.501110100LAug 7 · 15:20D. Sochor2.6310540M. Sochor1.441211113
O. Varecka10
LAug 14 · 10:03O. Fiklik1.801012311143O. Varecka1.911210119122LAug 14 · 08:55A. Langer2.381212113O. Varecka1.53101060LAug 14 · 08:25O. Fiklik1.911111123O. Varecka1.8076100LAug 14 · 07:25O. Varecka1.839980V. Jr1.831111113WAug 13 · 14:35M. Sulc1.44117851O. Varecka2.6391111113WAug 13 · 12:25A. Langer1.53911381O. Varecka2.3811711113LAug 13 · 11:25O. Varecka2.006270M. Sulc1.731111113LAug 12 · 22:30O. Varecka1.601011641D. Sykora2.2012311113WAug 12 · 21:25J. Hrncir2.10113661O. Varecka1.6791111113WAug 12 · 20:25O. Varecka1.73891111113J. Hendrych2.0011119592
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