TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12414960
Played Aug 13Finished
David Sochor
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161191210––––
Ales Langer
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:50 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeAles Langer to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Sochor above · Ales Langer below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 59 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Ales Langer at 69.1%
59 points played in total.
H2H David Sochor 7–8 Ales Langer David Sochor has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:50What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Langer
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-8 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sochor 1325 vs Langer 1463
Langer
Wrong
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sochor 0% vs Langer 60%
Langer
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sochor 10% vs Langer 50%
Langer
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sochor -5 · Langer +2
Sochor
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Langer) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Langer form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSochor 2.75 / Langer 1.40
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Langer)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12414960
Sochor2.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog24% won 8 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back5% 1 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Langer1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 63 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it71% 42 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSochor3wins
AwayLanger7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLanger leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSochor60%3 of 5
AwayLanger100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sochor5Langer5n = 10split evenly
S2Sochor1Langer9n = 10Langer took 9 of 10
S3Sochor4Langer6n = 10Langer took 6 of 10
S4Sochor1Langer3n = 4Langer took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricSochorLangerS − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match30.336.8−6.5per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSochorLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 275 vs 250 / 51842.9%48.3%118 / 275 vs 250 / 518Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerSochor 2.75/Langer 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.3%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sochor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 14:05D. Sochor—118147113A. Langer—911121162
WAug 13 · 10:55D. Sochor—1111123A. Langer—69100
LAug 11 · 14:09D. Sochor—3470A. Langer—1111113
LAug 11 · 12:55D. Sochor—11990A. Langer—1311113
LJul 17 · 10:20D. Sochor—8770A. Langer—1111113
LJul 12 · 06:20D. Sochor—113991A. Langer—81111113
WJul 2 · 06:55D. Sochor—11611123A. Langer—8119101
LJun 30 · 09:25D. Sochor—3980A. Langer—1111113
LJun 26 · 14:20D. Sochor—12811982A. Langer—1011511113
LJun 24 · 08:25D. Sochor—2740A. Langer—1111113
D. Sochor10
WAug 13 · 14:05D. Sochor2.20118147113A. Langer1.61911121162LAug 13 · 12:55D. Sochor1.8094110O. Varecka1.911111133LAug 13 · 11:55D. Sochor2.5057100M. Sulc1.501111123LAug 11 · 14:09A. Langer1.501111113D. Sochor2.503470LAug 11 · 12:55A. Langer1.571311113D. Sochor2.2511990LAug 11 · 12:25M. Sulc1.6181111153D. Sochor2.201126131LAug 11 · 11:25D. Sochor1.83811591V. Jr1.8311811113LAug 7 · 17:25M. Sochor1.471111113D. Sochor2.506960WAug 7 · 16:20D. Sochor2.501312123J. Hendrych1.501110100LAug 7 · 15:20D. Sochor2.6310540M. Sochor1.441211113
A. Langer10
WSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer2.006111011113O. Fiklik1.7311912982WSep 4 · 12:20A. Langer2.0011711113O. Fiklik1.73911531LSep 4 · 11:20A. Langer2.258116111D. Hyza1.5711911133LSep 4 · 10:20A. Langer2.5058100M. Brozek1.501111123WSep 2 · 13:19A. Langer1.8371411113V. Jr1.871112391WSep 2 · 12:20A. Langer1.801111113V. Jr1.917480LSep 2 · 11:20A. Langer2.258240J. Vonasek1.571111113LAug 13 · 14:05D. Sochor2.20118147113A. Langer1.61911121162WAug 11 · 14:09A. Langer1.501111113D. Sochor2.503470WAug 11 · 12:55A. Langer1.571311113D. Sochor2.2511990
Upcoming Matches
D. Sochor
Nothing scheduled
A. Langer
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