TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12399837
Played Aug 11Finished
Martin Sulc
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111121161513––
David Sochor
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Sulc to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sulc above · David Sochor below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 15-13
Point 77 set 4, 15-13 — our read held Martin Sulc at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sulc 3–5 David Sochor Martin Sulc has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:13What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sulc
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Sochor
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulc 1524 vs Sochor 1341
Sulc
Correct
both rated, 182 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulc 80% vs Sochor 20%
Sulc
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulc 50% vs Sochor 20%
Sulc
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulc +2 · Sochor -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Sulc) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sochor form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulc 1.61 / Sochor 2.20
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Sulc)+6.0pp
TT Cup · #12399837
Sulc1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 63 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it75% 43 of 57
Sochor2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog27% won 8 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back5% 1 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSulc3wins
AwaySochor5wins
5 of 8 to a deciderSochor leads 5–3, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulc60%3 of 5
AwaySochor100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulc5Sochor3n = 8Sulc took 5 of 8
S2Sulc3Sochor5n = 8Sochor took 5 of 8
S3Sulc4Sochor4n = 8split evenly
S4Sulc2Sochor5n = 7Sochor took 5 of 7
S5Sulc2Sochor3n = 5Sochor took 3 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricSulcSochorSulc − SochorBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match41.241.5−0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulcSochorBasisWin rate · lifetime331 / 648 vs 116 / 26851.1%43.3%331 / 648 vs 116 / 268Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulcSulc 1.61/Sochor 2.20
Miss
What we said
63.7%
Sulc · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sulc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJul 12 · 08:50M. Sulc—11811113D. Sochor—411791
LFeb 26 · 18:50M. Sulc—115117112D. Sochor—711811133
LFeb 26 · 16:50M. Sulc—101111952D. Sochor—128411113
WFeb 20 · 15:20M. Sulc—131178113D. Sochor—111111172
LFeb 8 · 17:25M. Sulc—58111192D. Sochor—111192113
LApr 4 · 19:25M. Sulc—7770D. Sochor—1111113
WMar 9 · 15:10M. Sulc—111189113D. Sochor—88111172
LMar 9 · 13:55M. Sulc—115981D. Sochor—91111113
M. Sulc10
LSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113WSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113LSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113LSep 2 · 21:20M. Kulisek1.551111127123M. Sulc2.30531411102LSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780LSep 2 · 19:50M. Brozek1.4012118113M. Sulc2.751061191LSep 2 · 18:50M. Sulc2.20125571M. Kulisek1.61101111113LAug 31 · 13:23V. Jr1.7371111113M. Sulc2.00117641LAug 31 · 12:20V. Jr2.101113113M. Sulc1.6781160
D. Sochor10
WAug 13 · 14:05D. Sochor2.20118147113A. Langer1.61911121162LAug 13 · 12:55D. Sochor1.8094110O. Varecka1.911111133LAug 13 · 11:55D. Sochor2.5057100M. Sulc1.501111123WAug 13 · 10:55D. Sochor2.751111123A. Langer1.4069100LAug 11 · 14:09A. Langer1.501111113D. Sochor2.503470LAug 11 · 12:55A. Langer1.571311113D. Sochor2.2511990LAug 11 · 11:25D. Sochor1.83811591V. Jr1.8311811113LAug 7 · 17:25M. Sochor1.471111113D. Sochor2.506960WAug 7 · 16:20D. Sochor2.501312123J. Hendrych1.501110100LAug 7 · 15:20D. Sochor2.6310540M. Sochor1.441211113
Upcoming Matches
M. Sulc
D. Sochor
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