TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12399289
Played Aug 11Finished
David Sochor
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811118511911––
Vaclav Hejda Jr
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:56 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeVaclav Hejda Jr to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Sochor above · Vaclav Hejda Jr below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Vaclav Hejda Jr at 57.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H David Sochor 6–6 Vaclav Hejda Jr Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:56What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sochor 1347 vs Jr 1558
Jr
Correct
both rated, 211 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sochor 20% vs Jr 60%
Jr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sochor 20% vs Jr 60%
Jr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sochor -1 · Jr +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sochor form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSochor 1.83 / Jr 1.83
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Jr)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12399289
Sochor1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Jr1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSochor5wins
AwayJr5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSochor75%3 of 4
AwayJr66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sochor4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S2Sochor6Jr4n = 10Sochor took 6 of 10
S3Sochor8Jr2n = 10Sochor took 8 of 10
S4Sochor2Jr7n = 9Jr took 7 of 9
S5Sochor3Jr3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSochorJrS − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.742.8−0.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSochorJrBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 268 vs 371 / 77543.3%47.9%116 / 268 vs 371 / 775Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.339.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrSochor 1.83/Jr 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 11:25D. Sochor—811591V. Jr—11811113
LJul 17 · 11:20D. Sochor—791413102V. Jr—11111211123
LJul 2 · 08:55D. Sochor—81112442V. Jr—1181011113
WJun 30 · 09:55D. Sochor—11311113V. Jr—611851
WJun 30 · 07:55D. Sochor—912118113V. Jr—111051192
LJun 26 · 18:00D. Sochor—1176161V. Jr—91111183
WJun 26 · 16:50D. Sochor—116118113V. Jr—91141122
WJun 1 · 12:50D. Sochor—1111125113V. Jr—138101182
WApr 17 · 14:40D. Sochor—1111123V. Jr—54100
LApr 17 · 10:55D. Sochor—71111872V. Jr—116911113
D. Sochor10
WAug 13 · 14:05D. Sochor2.20118147113A. Langer1.61911121162LAug 13 · 12:55D. Sochor1.8094110O. Varecka1.911111133LAug 13 · 11:55D. Sochor2.5057100M. Sulc1.501111123WAug 13 · 10:55D. Sochor2.751111123A. Langer1.4069100LAug 11 · 14:09A. Langer1.501111113D. Sochor2.503470LAug 11 · 12:55A. Langer1.571311113D. Sochor2.2511990LAug 11 · 12:25M. Sulc1.6181111153D. Sochor2.201126131LAug 7 · 17:25M. Sochor1.471111113D. Sochor2.506960WAug 7 · 16:20D. Sochor2.501312123J. Hendrych1.501110100LAug 7 · 15:20D. Sochor2.6310540M. Sochor1.441211113
V. Jr10
LSep 2 · 13:19A. Langer1.8371411113V. Jr1.871112391LSep 2 · 12:20A. Langer1.801111113V. Jr1.917480LSep 2 · 11:50A. Rek1.501413113V. Jr2.50121180LSep 2 · 10:50V. Jr2.00712571J. Vonasek1.73111011113WSep 1 · 14:35V. Jr2.5011115183A. Rek1.487611161WSep 1 · 13:25V. Jr2.38511714113O. Fiklik1.53117111292WSep 1 · 11:55A. Langer1.8011101251V. Jr1.91131210113WSep 1 · 11:25A. Rek1.50861161V. Jr2.5011118113WAug 31 · 13:23V. Jr1.7371111113M. Sulc2.00117641WAug 31 · 12:20V. Jr2.101113113M. Sulc1.6781160
Upcoming Matches
D. Sochor
Nothing scheduled
V. Jr
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