TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12416522
Played Aug 13Finished
David Sochor
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5117111012––––
Martin Sulc
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:50 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Sulc to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Sochor above · Martin Sulc below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 56 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Martin Sulc at 57.9%
56 points played in total.
H2H David Sochor 5–4 Martin Sulc Martin Sulc has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:50What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sulc
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sochor 1323 vs Sulc 1532
Sulc
Correct
both rated, 209 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sochor 20% vs Sulc 80%
Sulc
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sochor 20% vs Sulc 60%
Sulc
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sochor +1 · Sulc -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Sulc) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulc form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSochor 2.50 / Sulc 1.50
Signal prob.39% / 62%
Edge (Sulc)-1.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #12416522
Sochor2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog24% won 8 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back5% 1 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Sulc1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 63 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it74% 43 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSochor5wins
AwaySulc4wins
5 of 9 to a deciderSochor leads 5–4, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSochor75%3 of 4
AwaySulc60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sochor4Sulc5n = 9Sulc took 5 of 9
S2Sochor5Sulc4n = 9Sochor took 5 of 9
S3Sochor4Sulc5n = 9Sulc took 5 of 9
S4Sochor5Sulc3n = 8Sochor took 5 of 8
S5Sochor3Sulc2n = 5Sochor took 3 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricSochorSulcSochor − SulcBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match40.441.7−1.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSochorSulcBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 272 vs 333 / 65143%51.2%117 / 272 vs 333 / 651Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulcSochor 2.50/Sulc 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.5%
Sulc · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sulc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 11 · 12:25D. Sochor—1126131M. Sulc—81111153
LJul 12 · 08:50D. Sochor—411791M. Sulc—11811113
WFeb 26 · 18:50D. Sochor—711811133M. Sulc—115117112
WFeb 26 · 16:50D. Sochor—128411113M. Sulc—101111952
LFeb 20 · 15:20D. Sochor—111111172M. Sulc—131178113
WFeb 8 · 17:25D. Sochor—111192113M. Sulc—58111192
WApr 4 · 19:25D. Sochor—1111113M. Sulc—7770
LMar 9 · 15:10D. Sochor—88111172M. Sulc—111189113
WMar 9 · 13:55D. Sochor—91111113M. Sulc—115981
D. Sochor10
WAug 13 · 14:05D. Sochor2.20118147113A. Langer1.61911121162LAug 13 · 12:55D. Sochor1.8094110O. Varecka1.911111133WAug 13 · 10:55D. Sochor2.751111123A. Langer1.4069100LAug 11 · 14:09A. Langer1.501111113D. Sochor2.503470LAug 11 · 12:55A. Langer1.571311113D. Sochor2.2511990LAug 11 · 12:25M. Sulc1.6181111153D. Sochor2.201126131LAug 11 · 11:25D. Sochor1.83811591V. Jr1.8311811113LAug 7 · 17:25M. Sochor1.471111113D. Sochor2.506960WAug 7 · 16:20D. Sochor2.501312123J. Hendrych1.501110100LAug 7 · 15:20D. Sochor2.6310540M. Sochor1.441211113
M. Sulc10
LSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113WSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113LSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113LSep 2 · 21:20M. Kulisek1.551111127123M. Sulc2.30531411102LSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780LSep 2 · 19:50M. Brozek1.4012118113M. Sulc2.751061191LSep 2 · 18:50M. Sulc2.20125571M. Kulisek1.61101111113LAug 31 · 13:23V. Jr1.7371111113M. Sulc2.00117641WAug 11 · 12:25M. Sulc1.6181111153D. Sochor2.201126131
Upcoming Matches
D. Sochor
Nothing scheduled
M. Sulc
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