TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12416363
Played Aug 12Finished
Ondrej Varecka
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012113611411––
David Sykora
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:00 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeOndrej Varecka to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Varecka above · David Sykora below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 68 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Ondrej Varecka at 61.9%
68 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Varecka 14–7 David Sykora David Sykora has won 7 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:00What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Varecka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-7 in 21
Varecka
Wrong
gap of 7 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Varecka 1514 vs Sykora 1513
Varecka
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varecka 60% vs Sykora 40%
Varecka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varecka 50% vs Sykora 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Varecka +3 · Sykora +2
Varecka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Varecka)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarecka 1.60 / Sykora 2.20
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Varecka)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12416363
Varecka1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite56% won 92 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it93% 49 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it74% 66 of 89
Sykora2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 41 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back32% 18 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back20% 6 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVarecka8wins
AwaySykora2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVarecka leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVarecka100%7 of 7
AwaySykora66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Varecka7Sykora3n = 10Varecka took 7 of 10
S2Varecka8Sykora2n = 10Varecka took 8 of 10
S3Varecka6Sykora4n = 10Varecka took 6 of 10
S4Varecka4Sykora3n = 7Varecka took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVareckaSykoraV − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.233.0+6.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVareckaSykoraBasisWin rate · lifetime125 / 221 vs 325 / 59856.6%54.4%125 / 221 vs 325 / 598Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VareckaVarecka 1.60/Sykora 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.9%
Varecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sykora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 12 · 18:55O. Varecka—1191111113D. Sykora—81161392
LAug 10 · 12:20O. Varecka—7111251D. Sykora—11914113
LAug 4 · 11:20O. Varecka—8121071D. Sykora—111012113
WJul 30 · 21:29O. Varecka—1111133D. Sykora—85110
WJul 30 · 19:50O. Varecka—11116133D. Sykora—8611111
WJul 20 · 12:20O. Varecka—11711113D. Sykora—411871
WJul 19 · 14:50O. Varecka—11119113D. Sykora—881141
WJul 16 · 13:48O. Varecka—91111113D. Sykora—116791
WJul 16 · 12:50O. Varecka—1111123D. Sykora—73100
WJul 7 · 11:25O. Varecka—1111113D. Sykora—9560
O. Varecka10
LAug 14 · 10:03O. Fiklik1.801012311143O. Varecka1.911210119122LAug 14 · 08:55A. Langer2.381212113O. Varecka1.53101060LAug 14 · 08:25O. Fiklik1.911111123O. Varecka1.8076100LAug 14 · 07:25O. Varecka1.839980V. Jr1.831111113WAug 13 · 14:35M. Sulc1.44117851O. Varecka2.6391111113WAug 13 · 12:55D. Sochor1.8094110O. Varecka1.911111133WAug 13 · 12:25A. Langer1.53911381O. Varecka2.3811711113LAug 13 · 11:25O. Varecka2.006270M. Sulc1.731111113WAug 12 · 21:25J. Hrncir2.10113661O. Varecka1.6791111113WAug 12 · 20:25O. Varecka1.73891111113J. Hendrych2.0011119592
D. Sykora10
LAug 27 · 14:05J. Vonasek1.671111113D. Sykora2.106370LAug 27 · 12:55A. Langer1.8391111123D. Sykora1.831176101WAug 27 · 12:25J. Vonasek1.50111191192D. Sykora2.50913112113LAug 27 · 11:25D. Sykora1.8031110V. Jr1.911111133WAug 24 · 17:28D. Sykora1.80611118133V. Jr1.91113711112LAug 24 · 16:20D. Sykora1.67541171D. Tichy2.1011114113LAug 24 · 15:20D. Sykora1.44711761J. Cerny2.6311911113WAug 24 · 14:20D. Sykora1.831111113V. Jr1.838780LAug 23 · 18:39M. Sochor1.401111113D. Sykora2.757890WAug 23 · 16:55D. Sykora1.281111113Z. Zahradka3.505850
Upcoming Matches
O. Varecka
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D. Sykora
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