TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12423599
Played Aug 13Finished
Martin Sulc
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119711811511––
Ondrej Varecka
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:12 and never touched — 64.2% is still 64.2%
Graded at full timeMartin Sulc to win
64.2%
64.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Sulc above · Ondrej Varecka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 73 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Martin Sulc at 64.2%
73 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sulc 5–5 Ondrej Varecka Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:12What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Sulc
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulc 1536 vs Varecka 1508
Sulc
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulc 60% vs Varecka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulc 70% vs Varecka 50%
Sulc
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulc -1 · Varecka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Sulc)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varecka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulc 1.44 / Varecka 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Sulc)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #12423599
Sulc1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 63 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it74% 43 of 58
Varecka2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog54% won 29 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back35% 8 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulc5wins
AwayVarecka5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulc100%4 of 4
AwayVarecka83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulc4Varecka6n = 10Varecka took 6 of 10
S2Sulc4Varecka6n = 10Varecka took 6 of 10
S3Sulc5Varecka5n = 10split evenly
S4Sulc2Varecka1n = 3Sulc took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulcVareckaS − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.631.9+0.7per matchSweeps34−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulcVareckaBasisWin rate · lifetime335 / 654 vs 127 / 22551.2%56.4%335 / 654 vs 127 / 225Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulcSulc 1.44/Varecka 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Sulc · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Varecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 11:25M. Sulc—1111113O. Varecka—6270
WAug 10 · 13:20M. Sulc—1111113O. Varecka—9690
WAug 10 · 11:50M. Sulc—14911113O. Varecka—1211831
LAug 1 · 16:25M. Sulc—11101151O. Varecka—13125113
WJul 29 · 07:55M. Sulc—1111113O. Varecka—7870
LJul 28 · 12:55M. Sulc—9580O. Varecka—1111113
LJul 27 · 07:25M. Sulc—61060O. Varecka—1112113
LJul 24 · 10:10M. Sulc—61090O. Varecka—1112113
WJul 24 · 06:55M. Sulc—911911153O. Varecka—116118132
LJul 21 · 09:25M. Sulc—7590O. Varecka—1111113
M. Sulc10
LSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113WSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113LSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113LSep 2 · 21:20M. Kulisek1.551111127123M. Sulc2.30531411102LSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780LSep 2 · 19:50M. Brozek1.4012118113M. Sulc2.751061191LSep 2 · 18:50M. Sulc2.20125571M. Kulisek1.61101111113LAug 31 · 13:23V. Jr1.7371111113M. Sulc2.00117641LAug 31 · 12:20V. Jr2.101113113M. Sulc1.6781160
O. Varecka10
LAug 14 · 10:03O. Fiklik1.801012311143O. Varecka1.911210119122LAug 14 · 08:55A. Langer2.381212113O. Varecka1.53101060LAug 14 · 08:25O. Fiklik1.911111123O. Varecka1.8076100LAug 14 · 07:25O. Varecka1.839980V. Jr1.831111113WAug 13 · 12:55D. Sochor1.8094110O. Varecka1.911111133WAug 13 · 12:25A. Langer1.53911381O. Varecka2.3811711113LAug 13 · 11:25O. Varecka2.006270M. Sulc1.731111113LAug 12 · 22:30O. Varecka1.601011641D. Sykora2.2012311113WAug 12 · 21:25J. Hrncir2.10113661O. Varecka1.6791111113WAug 12 · 20:25O. Varecka1.73891111113J. Hendrych2.0011119592
Upcoming Matches
M. Sulc
O. Varecka
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.