TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12428537
Played Aug 14Finished
Ondrej Fiklik
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171161210––––
Ondrej Varecka
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fiklik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Fiklik above · Ondrej Varecka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 57 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Ondrej Fiklik at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Fiklik 3–2 Ondrej Varecka Ondrej Varecka has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:21What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Varecka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fiklik 1580 vs Varecka 1509
Fiklik
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fiklik 60% vs Varecka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fiklik 60% vs Varecka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fiklik -2 · Varecka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fiklik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFiklik 1.91 / Varecka 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fiklik)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #12428537
Fiklik1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 131 of 321
Down 0–1, comes back22% 38 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back12% 13 of 108
Varecka1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 95 of 167
Up 2–0, closes it93% 49 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it74% 67 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeFiklik3wins
AwayVarecka2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderFiklik leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFiklik75%3 of 4
AwayVareckan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fiklik4Varecka1n = 5Fiklik took 4 of 5
S2Fiklik3Varecka2n = 5Fiklik took 3 of 5
S3Fiklik3Varecka2n = 5Fiklik took 3 of 5
S4Fiklik1Varecka3n = 4Varecka took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricFiklikVareckaF − VBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match42.242.0+0.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiklikVareckaBasisWin rate · lifetime560 / 1209 vs 128 / 22746.3%56.4%560 / 1209 vs 128 / 227Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.239.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiklikFiklik 1.91/Varecka 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Fiklik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fiklik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 8 · 14:20O. Fiklik—111169102O. Varecka—991111123
WAug 8 · 11:25O. Fiklik—115119143O. Varecka—911511122
WJul 24 · 09:25O. Fiklik—111311113O. Varecka—915891
LJul 22 · 13:23O. Fiklik—611791O. Varecka—11711113
WJul 22 · 12:50O. Fiklik—1111133O. Varecka—99110
O. Fiklik10
LSep 5 · 22:03O. Fiklik2.2510890A. Rek1.571211113WSep 5 · 20:55A. Rek1.61811861O. Fiklik2.2011411113LSep 5 · 20:25M. Brozek1.5711711113O. Fiklik2.25311871WSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672LSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer2.006111011113O. Fiklik1.7311912982LSep 4 · 12:20A. Langer2.0011711113O. Fiklik1.73911531LSep 4 · 11:50M. Brozek1.611114113O. Fiklik2.2091260LSep 4 · 10:50O. Fiklik2.2511811772D. Hyza1.57911411113LSep 2 · 21:50M. Brozek1.601111113O. Fiklik2.206640WSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780
O. Varecka10
LAug 14 · 10:03O. Fiklik1.801012311143O. Varecka1.911210119122LAug 14 · 08:55A. Langer2.381212113O. Varecka1.53101060LAug 14 · 07:25O. Varecka1.839980V. Jr1.831111113WAug 13 · 14:35M. Sulc1.44117851O. Varecka2.6391111113WAug 13 · 12:55D. Sochor1.8094110O. Varecka1.911111133WAug 13 · 12:25A. Langer1.53911381O. Varecka2.3811711113LAug 13 · 11:25O. Varecka2.006270M. Sulc1.731111113LAug 12 · 22:30O. Varecka1.601011641D. Sykora2.2012311113WAug 12 · 21:25J. Hrncir2.10113661O. Varecka1.6791111113WAug 12 · 20:25O. Varecka1.73891111113J. Hendrych2.0011119592
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