TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13125021
Played Sep 13Finished
David Sochor
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91110121210611––
Matej Beran
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:15 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeMatej Beran to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Sochor above · Matej Beran below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 81 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Matej Beran at 67.9%
81 points played in total.
H2H David Sochor 0–6 Matej Beran David Sochor has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:15What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Beran
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-6 in 6
Beran
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sochor 1323 vs Beran 1578
Beran
Correct
both rated, 255 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sochor 20% vs Beran 80%
Beran
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sochor 30% vs Beran 70%
Beran
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sochor -1 · Beran +4
Beran
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Beran)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sochor form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSochor 2.75 / Beran 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Beran)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13125021
Sochor2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 9 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back5% 1 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Beran1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 22 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it72% 13 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSochor0wins
AwayBeran6wins
1 of 6 to a deciderBeran leads 6–0, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSochorn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBeran100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sochor2Beran4n = 6Beran took 4 of 6
S2Sochor2Beran4n = 6Beran took 4 of 6
S3Sochor0Beran6n = 6Beran took 6 of 6
S4Sochor1Beran3n = 4Beran took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricSochorBeranS − BBasisWins06−6in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match30.242.2−12.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSochorBeranBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 252 vs 70 / 15240.9%46.1%103 / 252 vs 70 / 152Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BeranSochor 2.75/Beran 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Beran · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Beran won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJul 10 · 10:40D. Sochor3921271172M. Beran501110117113
LJul 10 · 08:25D. Sochor2012530M. Beran361411113
LJul 6 · 17:55D. Sochor4115111141M. Beran4817713113
LJul 6 · 15:50D. Sochor35149661M. Beran45121111113
LApr 7 · 14:55D. Sochor130850M. Beran331111113
LNov 11 · 17:55D. Sochor331161151M. Beran4161113113
D. Sochor10
LSep 13 · 14:20D. Sochor2.50611961A. Langer1.5011711113WSep 11 · 17:55L. Moravec1.3097130D. Sochor3.401111153LSep 11 · 17:25A. Kral1.801111133D. Sochor1.9178110LSep 11 · 16:25D. Sochor1.675680L. Moravec2.101111113LSep 11 · 14:55M. Dvorak2.2011117113D. Sochor1.61961171LSep 8 · 13:20D. Sochor2.10117110D. Sykora1.671311133LSep 8 · 12:20D. Sochor2.25261271V. Jr1.57111110113WSep 8 · 11:20D. Sochor2.25113113113D. Sykora1.5781191172LSep 8 · 10:20D. Sochor2.505114111A. Langer1.5011811133WAug 13 · 14:05D. Sochor2.20118147113A. Langer1.61911121162
M. Beran10
WSep 13 · 14:50V. Jr1.731611911102M. Beran2.00185119123WSep 9 · 18:35M. Beran1.441111113D. Sykora2.609950WSep 9 · 16:55M. Beran1.6711118123M. Dvorak2.108611101WSep 9 · 15:55M. Beran1.7391111113J. Dvorak2.00115141WSep 9 · 14:55M. Beran1.6741111113D. Sykora2.10119991LSep 7 · 13:55M. Beran1.9131111452V. Jr1.80115411113WSep 7 · 12:50M. Beran2.001111113A. Langer1.736440WSep 7 · 11:20V. Jr1.67111166102M. Beran2.10681111123WSep 7 · 10:50D. Sykora1.838860M. Beran1.831111113LSep 3 · 17:53M. Sochor1.571111123M. Beran2.2555100
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.