TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13105836
Played Sep 9Finished
Matej Beran
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119115––––
David Sykora
Away
2.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMatej Beran above · David Sykora below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 56 set 3, 11-5
56 points played in total.
H2H Matej Beran 3–2 David Sykora David Sykora has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Beran beat Sykora 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Beran)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sykora form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBeran 1.44 / Sykora 2.60
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Beran)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13105836
Beran1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 21 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it69% 11 of 16
Sykora2.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 43 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back32% 21 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back17% 6 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeBeran3wins
AwaySykora2wins
Beran leads 3–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBerann = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySykora66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Beran2Sykora3n = 5Sykora took 3 of 5
S2Beran2Sykora3n = 5Sykora took 3 of 5
S3Beran4Sykora1n = 5Beran took 4 of 5
S4Beran2Sykora1n = 3Beran took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricBeranSykoraB − SBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match33.835.8−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBeranSykoraBasisWin rate · lifetime69 / 151 vs 299 / 55845.7%53.6%69 / 151 vs 299 / 558Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BeranBeran 1.44/Sykora 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.8%
Beran · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Beran won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 9 · 14:55M. Beran—41111113D. Sykora—119991
WSep 7 · 10:50M. Beran—1111113D. Sykora—8860
WJul 14 · 13:25M. Beran—11612113D. Sykora—9111091
LJul 13 · 11:20M. Beran—1391231D. Sykora—151110113
LJun 18 · 12:55M. Beran—8770D. Sykora—1111113
M. Beran10
WSep 9 · 16:55M. Beran1.6711118123M. Dvorak2.108611101WSep 9 · 15:55M. Beran1.7391111113J. Dvorak2.00115141WSep 9 · 14:55M. Beran1.6741111113D. Sykora2.10119991LSep 7 · 13:55M. Beran1.9131111452V. Jr1.80115411113WSep 7 · 12:50M. Beran2.001111113A. Langer1.736440WSep 7 · 11:20V. Jr1.67111166102M. Beran2.10681111123WSep 7 · 10:50D. Sykora1.838860M. Beran1.831111113LSep 3 · 17:53M. Sochor1.571111123M. Beran2.2555100LSep 3 · 16:55M. Beran1.73811931P. Moravec2.0011611113LSep 3 · 15:55M. Beran1.911193111M. Sochor1.8091111133
D. Sykora10
WSep 9 · 17:25J. Dvorak3.0087111182D. Sykora1.36111187113WSep 9 · 16:25D. Sykora1.83111211113M. Dvorak1.83814881LSep 9 · 14:55M. Beran1.6741111113D. Sykora2.10119991LSep 9 · 14:30D. Sykora1.4010101171A. Kral2.7512126113WSep 9 · 13:25A. Kral2.757101171D. Sykora1.4011129113WSep 9 · 12:25D. Sykora1.4011811113L. Moravec2.75911751WSep 9 · 10:55P. Chlumsky2.2551111132D. Sykora1.57117711113WSep 8 · 13:20D. Sochor2.10117110D. Sykora1.671311133LSep 8 · 12:50D. Sykora1.9116100A. Langer1.801111123LSep 7 · 10:50D. Sykora1.838860M. Beran1.831111113
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