TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12277230
Played Jul 21Finished
Viktor Skokan
Home
1.52
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012115811115118
Martin Sulc
Away
2.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:12 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeViktor Skokan to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Skokan above · Martin Sulc below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 92 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Viktor Skokan at 61.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Skokan 16–11 Martin Sulc Martin Sulc has won 11 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:12What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (61%)
Skokan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-11 in 27
Skokan
Correct
gap of 5 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skokan 1665 vs Sulc 1495
Skokan
Correct
both rated, 170 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skokan 60% vs Sulc 20%
Skokan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skokan 70% vs Sulc 30%
Skokan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skokan +3 · Sulc +1
Skokan
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Skokan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulc form (20%) is below what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkokan 1.52 / Sulc 2.35
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Skokan)+1.0pp
TT Cup · #12277230
Skokan1.52
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 24 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Sulc2.35
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 68 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back28% 25 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkokan6wins
AwaySulc4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkokan leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkokan80%4 of 5
AwaySulc60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skokan5Sulc5n = 10split evenly
S2Skokan7Sulc3n = 10Skokan took 7 of 10
S3Skokan5Sulc5n = 10split evenly
S4Skokan3Sulc6n = 9Sulc took 6 of 9
S5Skokan3Sulc1n = 4Skokan took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkokanSulcSkokan − SulcBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.735.5+4.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkokanSulcBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 405 vs 317 / 63048.2%50.3%195 / 405 vs 317 / 630Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkokanSkokan 1.52/Sulc 2.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Skokan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skokan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 21 · 11:25V. Skokan47811115123M. Sulc44115711102
WJul 21 · 07:25V. Skokan4181111113M. Sulc23113271
WJun 18 · 17:25V. Skokan331111113M. Sulc174940
WMar 22 · 16:55V. Skokan44114117113M. Sulc3861151152
LMar 12 · 18:35V. Skokan32811941M. Sulc3911611113
LMar 12 · 15:20V. Skokan30511591M. Sulc3411111113
WNov 19 · 22:30V. Skokan4111118113M. Sulc24331171
WNov 19 · 20:20V. Skokan47116118113M. Sulc4381191142
LNov 11 · 17:50V. Skokan411181481M. Sulc4571116113
LNov 7 · 16:50V. Skokan4161161172M. Sulc48119116113
V. Skokan10
LSep 13 · 20:20D. Sykora3.001111113V. Skokan1.365740LSep 13 · 19:50O. Fiklik2.00611211113V. Skokan1.7311711982LSep 13 · 18:50V. Skokan2.631171191A. Kosacky1.4451113113WJul 21 · 13:25V. Skokan1.571011119113V. Jr2.2512761172WJul 21 · 11:55D. Sykora3.0011813532V. Skokan1.367111111113WJul 21 · 11:25M. Sulc2.50115711102V. Skokan1.50811115123LJul 21 · 08:55O. Varecka1.83411117113V. Skokan1.8311171182LJul 21 · 08:25O. Varecka1.91911511113V. Skokan1.8011811672WJul 21 · 07:25V. Skokan1.5381111113M. Sulc2.38113271WJun 25 · 14:24V. Skokan2.00116811113A. Rek1.7331111272
M. Sulc10
LSep 10 · 18:30M. Sulc1.5711781172M. Sochor2.25911115113WSep 10 · 17:25M. Sulc2.101311113J. Hrncir1.6711680WSep 10 · 15:55J. Volek2.2558111182M. Sulc1.57111145113WSep 10 · 15:25M. Sochor2.0011119252M. Sulc1.73991111113LSep 9 · 21:20M. Sulc1.3671111982O. Fiklik3.00114411113WSep 9 · 20:20M. Sulc2.20811116113O. Fiklik1.6111271152LSep 9 · 19:20M. Sulc2.003580M. Kulisek1.731111113LSep 9 · 18:20M. Sulc3.0067120M. Brozek1.361111143LJul 21 · 11:25M. Sulc2.50115711102V. Skokan1.50811115123LJul 21 · 07:25V. Skokan1.5381111113M. Sulc2.38113271
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