TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12272392
Played Jul 21Finished
Viktor Skokan
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811113112117––
Martin Sulc
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:06 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeViktor Skokan to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Skokan above · Martin Sulc below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 64 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Viktor Skokan at 64.8%
64 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Skokan 17–11 Martin Sulc Martin Sulc has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:06What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Skokan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-11 in 28
Skokan
Correct
gap of 6 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skokan 1677 vs Sulc 1482
Skokan
Correct
both rated, 194 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skokan 80% vs Sulc 40%
Skokan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skokan 50% vs Sulc 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skokan +2 · Sulc -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Skokan) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skokan form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkokan 1.53 / Sulc 2.38
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Skokan)+8.0pp
TT Cup · #12272392
Skokan1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 29 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it75% 18 of 24
Sulc2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 68 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back28% 25 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkokan7wins
AwaySulc3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkokan leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkokan80%4 of 5
AwaySulc40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skokan5Sulc5n = 10split evenly
S2Skokan7Sulc3n = 10Skokan took 7 of 10
S3Skokan5Sulc5n = 10split evenly
S4Skokan3Sulc6n = 9Sulc took 6 of 9
S5Skokan4Sulc0n = 4Skokan took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkokanSulcSkokan − SulcBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.734.8+5.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkokanSulcBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 402 vs 317 / 63148.8%50.2%196 / 402 vs 317 / 631Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkokanSkokan 1.53/Sulc 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Skokan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skokan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 21 · 14:45V. Skokan511011811113M. Sulc4112511582
WJul 21 · 11:25V. Skokan47811115123M. Sulc44115711102
WJul 21 · 07:25V. Skokan4181111113M. Sulc23113271
WJun 18 · 17:25V. Skokan331111113M. Sulc174940
WMar 22 · 16:55V. Skokan44114117113M. Sulc3861151152
LMar 12 · 18:35V. Skokan32811941M. Sulc3911611113
LMar 12 · 15:20V. Skokan30511591M. Sulc3411111113
WNov 19 · 22:30V. Skokan4111118113M. Sulc24331171
WNov 19 · 20:20V. Skokan47116118113M. Sulc4381191142
LNov 11 · 17:50V. Skokan411181481M. Sulc4571116113
V. Skokan10
LSep 13 · 20:20D. Sykora3.001111113V. Skokan1.365740LSep 13 · 19:50O. Fiklik2.00611211113V. Skokan1.7311711982LSep 13 · 18:50V. Skokan2.631171191A. Kosacky1.4451113113WJul 21 · 14:45V. Skokan1.521011811113M. Sulc2.3512511582WJul 21 · 13:25V. Skokan1.571011119113V. Jr2.2512761172WJul 21 · 11:55D. Sykora3.0011813532V. Skokan1.367111111113WJul 21 · 11:25M. Sulc2.50115711102V. Skokan1.50811115123LJul 21 · 08:55O. Varecka1.83411117113V. Skokan1.8311171182LJul 21 · 08:25O. Varecka1.91911511113V. Skokan1.8011811672WJun 25 · 14:24V. Skokan2.00116811113A. Rek1.7331111272
M. Sulc10
LSep 10 · 18:30M. Sulc1.5711781172M. Sochor2.25911115113WSep 10 · 17:25M. Sulc2.101311113J. Hrncir1.6711680WSep 10 · 15:55J. Volek2.2558111182M. Sulc1.57111145113WSep 10 · 15:25M. Sochor2.0011119252M. Sulc1.73991111113LSep 9 · 21:20M. Sulc1.3671111982O. Fiklik3.00114411113WSep 9 · 20:20M. Sulc2.20811116113O. Fiklik1.6111271152LSep 9 · 19:20M. Sulc2.003580M. Kulisek1.731111113LSep 9 · 18:20M. Sulc3.0067120M. Brozek1.361111143LJul 21 · 14:45V. Skokan1.521011811113M. Sulc2.3512511582LJul 21 · 11:25M. Sulc2.50115711102V. Skokan1.50811115123
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.