TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12272418
Played Jul 21Finished
Martin Sulc
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1185117111151012
Viktor Skokan
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:05 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeViktor Skokan to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sulc above · Viktor Skokan below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 91 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Viktor Skokan at 64.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sulc 11–15 Viktor Skokan Martin Sulc has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:05What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Skokan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-15 in 26
Skokan
Correct
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulc 1503 vs Skokan 1606
Skokan
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulc 20% vs Skokan 60%
Skokan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulc 30% vs Skokan 50%
Skokan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulc -3 · Skokan -2
Sulc
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Skokan) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulc form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulc 2.50 / Skokan 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 64%
Edge (Skokan)+1.0pp
TT Cup · #12272418
Sulc2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 68 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back28% 25 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 54
Skokan1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 24 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulc4wins
AwaySkokan6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSkokan leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulc75%3 of 4
AwaySkokan83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulc4Skokan6n = 10Skokan took 6 of 10
S2Sulc3Skokan7n = 10Skokan took 7 of 10
S3Sulc5Skokan5n = 10split evenly
S4Sulc5Skokan3n = 8Sulc took 5 of 8
S5Sulc1Skokan2n = 3Skokan took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulcSkokanSulc − SkokanBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.138.3−5.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulcSkokanBasisWin rate · lifetime316 / 627 vs 192 / 40250.4%47.8%316 / 627 vs 192 / 402Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkokanSulc 2.50/Skokan 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.5%
Skokan · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skokan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 21 · 07:25M. Sulc23113271V. Skokan4181111113
LJun 18 · 17:25M. Sulc174940V. Skokan331111113
LMar 22 · 16:55M. Sulc3861151152V. Skokan44114117113
WMar 12 · 18:35M. Sulc3911611113V. Skokan32811941
WMar 12 · 15:20M. Sulc3411111113V. Skokan30511591
LNov 19 · 22:30M. Sulc24331171V. Skokan4111118113
LNov 19 · 20:20M. Sulc4381191142V. Skokan47116118113
WNov 11 · 17:50M. Sulc4571116113V. Skokan411181481
WNov 7 · 16:50M. Sulc48119116113V. Skokan4161161172
LNov 4 · 20:20M. Sulc208840V. Skokan331111113
M. Sulc10
LSep 10 · 18:30M. Sulc1.5711781172M. Sochor2.25911115113WSep 10 · 17:25M. Sulc2.101311113J. Hrncir1.6711680WSep 10 · 15:55J. Volek2.2558111182M. Sulc1.57111145113WSep 10 · 15:25M. Sochor2.0011119252M. Sulc1.73991111113LSep 9 · 21:20M. Sulc1.3671111982O. Fiklik3.00114411113WSep 9 · 20:20M. Sulc2.20811116113O. Fiklik1.6111271152LSep 9 · 19:20M. Sulc2.003580M. Kulisek1.731111113LSep 9 · 18:20M. Sulc3.0067120M. Brozek1.361111143LSep 7 · 17:55D. Hyza1.4511511113M. Sulc2.60711881LSep 7 · 16:50M. Sulc2.50891141D. Hyza1.5011117113
V. Skokan10
LSep 13 · 20:20D. Sykora3.001111113V. Skokan1.365740LSep 13 · 19:50O. Fiklik2.00611211113V. Skokan1.7311711982LSep 13 · 18:50V. Skokan2.631171191A. Kosacky1.4451113113WJul 21 · 14:45V. Skokan1.521011811113M. Sulc2.3512511582WJul 21 · 13:25V. Skokan1.571011119113V. Jr2.2512761172WJul 21 · 11:55D. Sykora3.0011813532V. Skokan1.367111111113LJul 21 · 08:55O. Varecka1.83411117113V. Skokan1.8311171182LJul 21 · 08:25O. Varecka1.91911511113V. Skokan1.8011811672WJul 21 · 07:25V. Skokan1.5381111113M. Sulc2.38113271WJun 25 · 14:24V. Skokan2.00116811113A. Rek1.7331111272
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