TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12272414
Played Jul 21Finished
David Sykora
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1178111311511311
Viktor Skokan
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:04 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeViktor Skokan to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Sykora above · Viktor Skokan below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 91 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Viktor Skokan at 75.3%
91 points played in total.
H2H David Sykora 1–7 Viktor Skokan David Sykora has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:04What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Skokan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-7 in 8
Skokan
Correct
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sykora 1602 vs Skokan 1606
Skokan
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sykora 40% vs Skokan 60%
Skokan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sykora 40% vs Skokan 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sykora +1 · Skokan -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Skokan) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skokan form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSykora 3.00 / Skokan 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Skokan)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12272414
Sykora3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 42 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back38% 18 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back22% 5 of 23
Skokan1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 24 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSykora1wins
AwaySkokan7wins
1 of 8 to a deciderSkokan leads 7–1, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSykoran = 0, below the 3 needed
AwaySkokan87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sykora0Skokan8n = 8Skokan took 8 of 8
S2Sykora2Skokan6n = 8Skokan took 6 of 8
S3Sykora3Skokan5n = 8Skokan took 5 of 8
S4Sykora1Skokan2n = 3Skokan took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away563%
These 8 meetings
MetricSykoraSkokanSykora − SkokanBasisWins17−6in 8 meetingsFirst set08−8of 8Avg pointsper match27.135.9−8.8per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSykoraSkokanBasisWin rate · lifetime309 / 560 vs 192 / 40255.2%47.8%309 / 560 vs 192 / 402Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkokanSykora 3.00/Skokan 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.8%
Skokan · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skokan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJun 18 · 14:35D. Sykora186570V. Skokan331111113
LJun 18 · 11:55D. Sykora2569100V. Skokan341111123
LJun 10 · 14:30D. Sykora3641111462V. Skokan51119911113
WJun 10 · 13:25D. Sykora43101111113V. Skokan28124841
LApr 12 · 15:50D. Sykora268990V. Skokan331111113
LOct 26 · 21:25D. Sykora29951141V. Skokan4211119113
LAug 10 · 16:50D. Sykora169610V. Skokan331111113
LJul 10 · 11:25D. Sykora248970V. Skokan331111113
D. Sykora10
WSep 13 · 20:20D. Sykora3.001111113V. Skokan1.365740WSep 13 · 19:20D. Sykora3.251011411113A. Kosacky1.3312911752LSep 13 · 18:20D. Sykora2.506380O. Fiklik1.501111113LSep 9 · 18:35M. Beran1.441111113D. Sykora2.609950WSep 9 · 17:25J. Dvorak3.0087111182D. Sykora1.36111187113WSep 9 · 16:25D. Sykora1.83111211113M. Dvorak1.83814881LSep 9 · 14:55M. Beran1.6741111113D. Sykora2.10119991LSep 9 · 14:30D. Sykora1.4010101171A. Kral2.7512126113WSep 9 · 13:25A. Kral2.757101171D. Sykora1.4011129113WSep 9 · 12:25D. Sykora1.4011811113L. Moravec2.75911751
V. Skokan10
LSep 13 · 20:20D. Sykora3.001111113V. Skokan1.365740LSep 13 · 19:50O. Fiklik2.00611211113V. Skokan1.7311711982LSep 13 · 18:50V. Skokan2.631171191A. Kosacky1.4451113113WJul 21 · 14:45V. Skokan1.521011811113M. Sulc2.3512511582WJul 21 · 13:25V. Skokan1.571011119113V. Jr2.2512761172WJul 21 · 11:25M. Sulc2.50115711102V. Skokan1.50811115123LJul 21 · 08:55O. Varecka1.83411117113V. Skokan1.8311171182LJul 21 · 08:25O. Varecka1.91911511113V. Skokan1.8011811672WJul 21 · 07:25V. Skokan1.5381111113M. Sulc2.38113271WJun 25 · 14:24V. Skokan2.00116811113A. Rek1.7331111272
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