TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12272389
Played Jul 21Finished
Ondrej Varecka
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911118511116117
Viktor Skokan
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeViktor Skokan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Varecka above · Viktor Skokan below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 90 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Viktor Skokan at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Varecka 0–1 Viktor Skokan Ondrej Varecka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:06What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Skokan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Varecka 1620 vs Skokan 1637
Skokan
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varecka 80% vs Skokan 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varecka 70% vs Skokan 50%
Varecka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Varecka +2 · Skokan +3
Skokan
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skokan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skokan form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarecka 1.91 / Skokan 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skokan)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12272389
Varecka1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog56% won 25 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back37% 7 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back20% 2 of 10
Skokan1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 24 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVarecka0wins
AwaySkokan1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSkokan leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVareckaSkokanV − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.048.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVareckaSkokanBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 167 vs 195 / 40359.9%48.4%100 / 167 vs 195 / 403Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkokanVarecka 1.91/Skokan 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skokan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Varecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJun 10 · 11:25O. Varecka4311117862V. Skokan48781111113
O. Varecka10
LAug 14 · 10:03O. Fiklik1.801012311143O. Varecka1.911210119122LAug 14 · 08:55A. Langer2.381212113O. Varecka1.53101060LAug 14 · 08:25O. Fiklik1.911111123O. Varecka1.8076100LAug 14 · 07:25O. Varecka1.839980V. Jr1.831111113WAug 13 · 14:35M. Sulc1.44117851O. Varecka2.6391111113WAug 13 · 12:55D. Sochor1.8094110O. Varecka1.911111133WAug 13 · 12:25A. Langer1.53911381O. Varecka2.3811711113LAug 13 · 11:25O. Varecka2.006270M. Sulc1.731111113LAug 12 · 22:30O. Varecka1.601011641D. Sykora2.2012311113WAug 12 · 21:25J. Hrncir2.10113661O. Varecka1.6791111113
V. Skokan10
LSep 13 · 20:20D. Sykora3.001111113V. Skokan1.365740LSep 13 · 19:50O. Fiklik2.00611211113V. Skokan1.7311711982LSep 13 · 18:50V. Skokan2.631171191A. Kosacky1.4451113113WJul 21 · 14:45V. Skokan1.521011811113M. Sulc2.3512511582WJul 21 · 13:25V. Skokan1.571011119113V. Jr2.2512761172WJul 21 · 11:55D. Sykora3.0011813532V. Skokan1.367111111113WJul 21 · 11:25M. Sulc2.50115711102V. Skokan1.50811115123LJul 21 · 08:55O. Varecka1.83411117113V. Skokan1.8311171182WJul 21 · 07:25V. Skokan1.5381111113M. Sulc2.38113271WJun 25 · 14:24V. Skokan2.00116811113A. Rek1.7331111272
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