TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13110807
Played Sep 10Finished
Martin Sulc
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119711811115711
Miroslav Sochor
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Sulc to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Sulc above · Miroslav Sochor below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 91 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Martin Sulc at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sulc 46–53 Miroslav Sochor Martin Sulc has won 46 of their 99 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Sulc beat Sochor 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:53What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sulc
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-53 in 99
Sochor
Correct
gap of 7 in 99, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulc 1543 vs Sochor 1558
Sochor
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulc 80% vs Sochor 60%
Sulc
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulc 50% vs Sochor 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulc +3 · Sochor +2
Sulc
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sulc) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sochor form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulc 1.57 / Sochor 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Sulc)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13110807
Sulc1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 66 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it71% 44 of 62
Sochor2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 35 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back33% 17 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulc9wins
AwaySochor1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSulc leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulc100%5 of 5
AwaySochor20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulc5Sochor5n = 10split evenly
S2Sulc7Sochor3n = 10Sulc took 7 of 10
S3Sulc8Sochor2n = 10Sulc took 8 of 10
S4Sulc6Sochor1n = 7Sulc took 6 of 7
S5Sulc3Sochor1n = 4Sulc took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulcSochorSulc − SochorBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.331.1+10.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulcSochorBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 650 vs 264 / 51251.1%51.6%332 / 650 vs 264 / 512Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulcSulc 1.57/Sochor 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Sulc · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sochor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 15:25M. Sulc—991111113M. Sochor—11119252
WSep 7 · 14:50M. Sulc—1111113M. Sochor—6880
WAug 28 · 18:25M. Sulc—101211113M. Sochor—1210731
WAug 28 · 14:50M. Sulc—146611113M. Sochor—121111552
LAug 24 · 17:25M. Sulc—71111252M. Sochor—113911113
WAug 9 · 11:25M. Sulc—71111133M. Sochor—1167111
WJul 26 · 06:55M. Sulc—91111113M. Sochor—115371
WJun 20 · 18:30M. Sulc—1111113M. Sochor—2350
WJun 20 · 14:55M. Sulc—1181011113M. Sochor—51112782
WJun 3 · 15:25M. Sulc—1111113M. Sochor—5740
M. Sulc10
WSep 10 · 17:25M. Sulc2.101311113J. Hrncir1.6711680WSep 10 · 15:55J. Volek2.2558111182M. Sulc1.57111145113WSep 10 · 15:25M. Sochor2.0011119252M. Sulc1.73991111113LSep 9 · 21:20M. Sulc1.3671111982O. Fiklik3.00114411113WSep 9 · 20:20M. Sulc2.20811116113O. Fiklik1.6111271152LSep 9 · 19:20M. Sulc2.003580M. Kulisek1.731111113LSep 9 · 18:20M. Sulc3.0067120M. Brozek1.361111143LSep 7 · 17:55D. Hyza1.4511511113M. Sulc2.60711881LSep 7 · 16:50M. Sulc2.50891141D. Hyza1.5011117113WSep 7 · 15:20A. Rek1.537314101M. Sulc2.38111112123
M. Sochor10
WSep 10 · 16:55J. Volek2.005121131M. Sochor1.7311149113WSep 10 · 16:25J. Hrncir1.4410580M. Sochor2.631211113LSep 10 · 15:25M. Sochor2.0011119252M. Sulc1.73991111113WSep 7 · 17:24A. Rek1.538790M. Sochor2.381111113LSep 7 · 16:20A. Rek1.441111143M. Sochor2.6339120LSep 7 · 15:50D. Hyza1.281111113M. Sochor3.508590LSep 7 · 14:50M. Sochor1.836880M. Sulc1.831111113WSep 3 · 17:53M. Sochor1.571111123M. Beran2.2555100LSep 3 · 17:25M. Sochor2.2551070J. Hrncir1.571112113WSep 3 · 15:55M. Beran1.911193111M. Sochor1.8091111133
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.