TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108633
Played Sep 10Finished
Jan Hrncir
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012511811––––
Miroslav Sochor
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:15 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeJan Hrncir to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Hrncir above · Miroslav Sochor below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Jan Hrncir at 61.5%
57 points played in total.
H2H Jan Hrncir 8–5 Miroslav Sochor Miroslav Sochor has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:15What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hrncir
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Hrncir
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrncir 1508 vs Sochor 1535
Sochor
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrncir 80% vs Sochor 20%
Hrncir
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrncir 70% vs Sochor 30%
Hrncir
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrncir +1 · Sochor -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Hrncir) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sochor form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrncir 1.44 / Sochor 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Hrncir)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13108633
Hrncir1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite50% won 22 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it70% 19 of 27
Sochor2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 35 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back33% 17 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrncir8wins
AwaySochor2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHrncir leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrncir100%6 of 6
AwaySochor50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrncir6Sochor4n = 10Hrncir took 6 of 10
S2Hrncir5Sochor5n = 10split evenly
S3Hrncir8Sochor2n = 10Hrncir took 8 of 10
S4Hrncir6Sochor0n = 6Hrncir took 6 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrncirSochorH − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.231.7+7.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrncirSochorBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 192 vs 262 / 51055.2%51.4%106 / 192 vs 262 / 510Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.336.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrncirHrncir 1.44/Sochor 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Hrncir · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sochor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 17:25J. Hrncir—1112113M. Sochor—51070
LApr 30 · 15:55J. Hrncir—5870M. Sochor—1111113
WMar 6 · 19:05J. Hrncir—81111113M. Sochor—117491
WMar 6 · 18:25J. Hrncir—11711113M. Sochor—511681
LFeb 20 · 15:50J. Hrncir—105111152M. Sochor—121154113
WFeb 13 · 16:50J. Hrncir—1291111113M. Sochor—14116462
WJan 23 · 16:50J. Hrncir—1112113M. Sochor—71070
WJan 15 · 16:50J. Hrncir—11128113M. Sochor—8101171
WAug 31 · 18:15J. Hrncir—1111163M. Sochor—72140
WAug 31 · 15:10J. Hrncir—111411113M. Sochor—616841
J. Hrncir10
LSep 10 · 17:25M. Sulc2.101311113J. Hrncir1.6711680WSep 10 · 14:55J. Volek1.839111071J. Hrncir1.8311312113LSep 3 · 18:23J. Hrncir1.9011691372P. Moravec1.806111111113WSep 3 · 17:25M. Sochor2.2551070J. Hrncir1.571112113WSep 3 · 16:25J. Hrncir1.911011118163P. Moravec1.80126511142WSep 3 · 14:55M. Beran2.00101181142J. Hrncir1.73129114113WAug 17 · 17:30D. Tichy1.731011571J. Hrncir2.0012811113WAug 17 · 16:50J. Hrncir1.501191111113Z. Zahradka2.5061113842LAug 17 · 15:20M. Dvorak2.101211113J. Hrncir1.6710970LAug 17 · 14:50D. Tichy1.8391211113J. Hrncir1.831110381
M. Sochor10
WSep 10 · 16:55J. Volek2.005121131M. Sochor1.7311149113LSep 10 · 15:25M. Sochor2.0011119252M. Sulc1.73991111113WSep 7 · 17:24A. Rek1.538790M. Sochor2.381111113LSep 7 · 16:20A. Rek1.441111143M. Sochor2.6339120LSep 7 · 15:50D. Hyza1.281111113M. Sochor3.508590LSep 7 · 14:50M. Sochor1.836880M. Sulc1.831111113WSep 3 · 17:53M. Sochor1.571111123M. Beran2.2555100LSep 3 · 17:25M. Sochor2.2551070J. Hrncir1.571112113WSep 3 · 15:55M. Beran1.911193111M. Sochor1.8091111133LSep 3 · 15:25P. Moravec1.50111187113M. Sochor2.5065111192
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