TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13125910
Played Sep 13Finished
Vaclav Hejda Jr
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118911119911115
Ales Langer
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingVaclav Hejda Jr above · Ales Langer below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 95 set 5, 11-5
95 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hejda Jr 55–56 Ales Langer Vaclav Hejda Jr has won 55 of their 111 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Jr beat Langer 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Langer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Langer form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.91 / Langer 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Langer)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13125910
Jr1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 81 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back26% 21 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 32
Langer1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 63 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it72% 46 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr5wins
AwayLanger5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr83.3%5 of 6
AwayLanger100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr6Langer4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S2Jr6Langer4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S3Jr3Langer7n = 10Langer took 7 of 10
S4Jr6Langer2n = 8Jr took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrLangerJ − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.736.4+0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime391 / 794 vs 258 / 52549.2%49.1%391 / 794 vs 258 / 525Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerJr 1.91/Langer 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 15:50V. Jr25111133A. Langer134720
LSep 8 · 13:50V. Jr47513101182A. Langer501111125113
LSep 8 · 11:50V. Jr501011101182A. Langer47128124113
WSep 7 · 10:20V. Jr3911116113A. Langer28641171
LSep 2 · 13:19V. Jr351112391A. Langer4371411113
LSep 2 · 12:20V. Jr197480A. Langer331111113
WSep 1 · 11:55V. Jr46131210113A. Langer3811101251
WAug 27 · 14:35V. Jr4011611123A. Langer348115101
LAug 27 · 11:55V. Jr25711251A. Langer4211911113
WAug 26 · 10:40V. Jr4111811113A. Langer36911881
V. Jr10
WSep 13 · 16:20D. Sochor2.2591080V. Jr1.571112113WSep 13 · 15:50A. Langer1.834780V. Jr1.831111113LSep 13 · 14:50V. Jr1.731611911102M. Beran2.00185119123LSep 11 · 13:55V. Jr1.903111021D. Hyza1.8011912113LSep 11 · 12:55V. Jr2.2571131132O. Fiklik1.57118119113WSep 11 · 11:55V. Jr2.6361111133D. Hyza1.441195111LSep 11 · 10:55V. Jr2.38611491A. Rek1.5311811113LSep 8 · 13:50A. Langer1.851111125113V. Jr1.85513101182WSep 8 · 12:20D. Sochor2.25261271V. Jr1.57111110113LSep 8 · 11:50A. Langer1.83128124113V. Jr1.831011101182
A. Langer10
WSep 13 · 16:50M. Beran1.73811120A. Langer2.001113143LSep 13 · 15:50A. Langer1.834780V. Jr1.831111113WSep 13 · 14:20D. Sochor2.50611961A. Langer1.5011711113LSep 9 · 09:55A. Langer2.25561161J. Vonasek1.5711117113LSep 9 · 08:55A. Langer2.207570A. Rek1.611111113WSep 9 · 07:55A. Langer2.381111113J. Vonasek1.537480LSep 9 · 06:55A. Langer2.5011121131M. Brozek1.5013148113WSep 8 · 13:50A. Langer1.851111125113V. Jr1.85513101182WSep 8 · 12:50D. Sykora1.9116100A. Langer1.801111123WSep 8 · 11:50A. Langer1.83128124113V. Jr1.831011101182
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.