TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129244
Played Sep 14Finished
Jan Hendrych
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11412104111012711
Zdenek Zahradka
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZdenek Zahradka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Hendrych above · Zdenek Zahradka below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 92 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Zdenek Zahradka at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jan Hendrych 28–45 Zdenek Zahradka Jan Hendrych has won 28 of their 73 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 12:23What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zahradka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-45 in 73
Zahradka
Correct
gap of 17 in 73, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hendrych 1563 vs Zahradka 1390
Hendrych
Wrong
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hendrych 60% vs Zahradka 20%
Hendrych
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hendrych 50% vs Zahradka 20%
Hendrych
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hendrych -1 · Zahradka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zahradka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHendrych 2.00 / Zahradka 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hendrych)-0.3pp
TT Cup · #13129244
Hendrych2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 56 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back26% 18 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Zahradka1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 108 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it86% 47 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it70% 75 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHendrych4wins
AwayZahradka6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZahradka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHendrych66.7%2 of 3
AwayZahradka71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hendrych3Zahradka7n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S2Hendrych5Zahradka5n = 10split evenly
S3Hendrych4Zahradka6n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S4Hendrych2Zahradka4n = 6Zahradka took 4 of 6
S5Hendrych2Zahradka1n = 3Hendrych took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHendrychZahradkaH − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.436.7−2.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHendrychZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 522 vs 415 / 83851.2%49.5%267 / 522 vs 415 / 838Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HendrychHendrych 2.00/Zahradka 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zahradka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 16:50J. Hendrych501211115113Z. Zahradka4514581172
WSep 8 · 14:20J. Hendrych331111113Z. Zahradka214890
LAug 20 · 14:20J. Hendrych32711771Z. Zahradka3911611113
LAug 7 · 17:54J. Hendrych207580Z. Zahradka331111113
WAug 7 · 15:50J. Hendrych4211811123Z. Zahradka337115101
LJul 24 · 16:50J. Hendrych2361250Z. Zahradka361114113
LJul 10 · 18:30J. Hendrych257990Z. Zahradka331111113
LJul 10 · 16:55J. Hendrych4312116682Z. Zahradka501071111113
WJun 30 · 18:00J. Hendrych42811111113Z. Zahradka3711117532
LJun 30 · 15:50J. Hendrych34611891Z. Zahradka4011711113
J. Hendrych10
LSep 10 · 18:00J. Hendrych1.65111161252L. Moravec2.10661114113WSep 10 · 16:50J. Hendrych2.101211115113Z. Zahradka1.6714581172WSep 10 · 15:20L. Moravec2.25511281J. Hendrych1.5711211113WSep 10 · 14:50M. Dolezal2.257990J. Hendrych1.571111113LSep 8 · 17:55J. Hendrych1.95811981P. Moravec1.7511911113WSep 8 · 16:50P. Moravec1.83871131J. Hendrych1.8311117113LSep 8 · 15:50J. Hendrych2.0051111872J. Dvorak1.73116911113WSep 8 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.574890J. Hendrych2.251111113LAug 31 · 18:00M. Dvorak2.101011911113J. Hendrych1.6712811752LAug 31 · 16:55M. Dvorak2.0011115113J. Hendrych1.73681151
Z. Zahradka10
WSep 14 · 15:20D. Sykora1.30811771Z. Zahradka3.4011811113LSep 10 · 17:29Z. Zahradka2.501191011112M. Dolezal1.50611128133LSep 10 · 16:50J. Hendrych2.101211115113Z. Zahradka1.6714581172WSep 10 · 15:50Z. Zahradka2.751111113M. Dolezal1.404730LSep 10 · 14:20L. Moravec1.8311119113Z. Zahradka1.83731161LSep 8 · 17:23J. Dvorak1.67111158123Z. Zahradka2.10981111102LSep 8 · 16:20Z. Zahradka2.50671191J. Dvorak1.5011113113LSep 8 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.7510580P. Moravec1.401211113LSep 8 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.574890J. Hendrych2.251111113WSep 6 · 18:03J. Melichar1.44111011682Z. Zahradka2.63712811113
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