TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13130405
Played Sep 14Finished
Zdenek Zahradka
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012117911118811
David Sykora
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:20 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeDavid Sykora to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Zahradka above · David Sykora below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 98 set 5, 8-11 — our read held David Sykora at 58.9%
98 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Zahradka 30–50 David Sykora Zdenek Zahradka has won 30 of their 80 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Zahradka beat Sykora 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:20What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Sykora
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-50 in 80
Sykora
Correct
gap of 20 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1435 vs Sykora 1557
Sykora
Correct
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 60% vs Sykora 80%
Sykora
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 40% vs Sykora 70%
Sykora
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka +3 · Sykora +1
Zahradka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Sykora) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 3.00 / Sykora 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Sykora)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13130405
Zahradka3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 70 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back14% 16 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Sykora1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 94 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it90% 47 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it82% 68 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka2wins
AwaySykora8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSykora leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka50%2 of 4
AwaySykora100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka4Sykora6n = 10Sykora took 6 of 10
S2Zahradka2Sykora8n = 10Sykora took 8 of 10
S3Zahradka4Sykora6n = 10Sykora took 6 of 10
S4Zahradka2Sykora4n = 6Sykora took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaSykoraZ − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.339.0−6.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaSykoraBasisWin rate · lifetime410 / 829 vs 294 / 54849.5%53.7%410 / 829 vs 294 / 548Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SykoraZahradka 3.00/Sykora 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72%
Sykora · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sykora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 15:20Z. Zahradka4111811113D. Sykora33811771
LAug 23 · 16:55Z. Zahradka185850D. Sykora331111113
WAug 2 · 14:09Z. Zahradka331111113D. Sykora196760
LAug 2 · 11:55Z. Zahradka44111031192D. Sykora51812119113
LJul 28 · 11:50Z. Zahradka215790D. Sykora331111113
LJul 23 · 11:55Z. Zahradka32116961D. Sykora4291111113
LJul 12 · 12:25Z. Zahradka371641161D. Sykora4818118113
LJul 9 · 13:25Z. Zahradka4313145111D. Sykora51151211133
LJul 9 · 10:20Z. Zahradka1911710D. Sykora351311113
LJul 7 · 13:55Z. Zahradka35961461D. Sykora45111112113
Z. Zahradka10
WSep 14 · 16:50Z. Zahradka1.5011811113D. Sochor2.50811791WSep 14 · 15:20D. Sykora1.30811771Z. Zahradka3.4011811113WSep 14 · 14:50J. Hendrych2.00111241072Z. Zahradka1.734101112113LSep 10 · 17:29Z. Zahradka2.501191011112M. Dolezal1.50611128133LSep 10 · 16:50J. Hendrych2.101211115113Z. Zahradka1.6714581172WSep 10 · 15:50Z. Zahradka2.751111113M. Dolezal1.404730LSep 10 · 14:20L. Moravec1.8311119113Z. Zahradka1.83731161LSep 8 · 17:23J. Dvorak1.67111158123Z. Zahradka2.10981111102LSep 8 · 16:20Z. Zahradka2.50671191J. Dvorak1.5011113113LSep 8 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.7510580P. Moravec1.401211113
D. Sykora10
WSep 14 · 16:20D. Sykora1.8381111113J. Hendrych1.83118871LSep 14 · 15:20D. Sykora1.30811771Z. Zahradka3.4011811113WSep 14 · 14:20D. Sykora1.4411136153D. Sochor2.6361111131WSep 13 · 21:29D. Sykora2.50881211133V. Skokan1.501111107112WSep 13 · 20:20D. Sykora3.001111113V. Skokan1.365740WSep 13 · 19:20D. Sykora3.251011411113A. Kosacky1.3312911752LSep 13 · 18:20D. Sykora2.506380O. Fiklik1.501111113LSep 9 · 18:35M. Beran1.441111113D. Sykora2.609950WSep 9 · 17:25J. Dvorak3.0087111182D. Sykora1.36111187113WSep 9 · 16:25D. Sykora1.83111211113M. Dvorak1.83814881
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